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Carl Futia carlfutia.blogspot.com

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All-time Return +13.35% (in over 2 years)	Risk (SD) Aggressive 0.00%	Sharpe Ratio -19.59
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Visit Blog: carlfutia.com

Never mind! 11/27/09 — Here is a five minute bar chart showing globex trading in the e-minis from yesterday afternoon through the early part of today's pit trading.In this morning's guesstimate I said that the drop below the previous low at 1082.50 implied that the market would continue down to 1040 or so during the next w...

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Guesstimates on November 27, 2009 11/27/09 — December S&P E-mini Futures: The Dubai World default sent world markets spiraling downward yesterday. The e-minis traded as low as 1067 last night. The drop below the 1082 level changes the short term picture. I now think that the reaction which started from the November 16 top at 1112 will carr...

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Guesstimates on November 25, 2009 11/25/09 — December S&P E-mini Futures: The day session range estimate is 1106- 1116. I think the 1126 level will be reached within a few days. <o:p></o:p> QQQ: Next upside target is 45.60. Support is at 43.25. <o:p></o:p> TYX (thirty year bond yield): I think this market has be...

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sold long unit at 1099.25 11/24/09 —

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Long one unit at 1103.50 11/24/09 —

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Guesstimates on November 24, 2009 11/24/09 — December S&P E-mini Futures: The day session range estimate is 1100- 1112. I think the 1126 level will be reached within the next week or so. <o:p></o:p> QQQ: Next upside target is 45.60. Support is at 43.25. <o:p></o:p> TYX (thirty year bond yield): I think this mark...

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Update 11/23/09 — Here is a 30 minute bar chart of the last ten e-mini day sessions. The market started the pit session today with a high volume rally which carried to within a point of its recent high. There the buyers lost their enthusiasm. But sellers failed to turn out in force - the e-minis dropped only about as ...

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sold long unit at 1104.25 11/23/09 —

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Long one unit at 1106.25 11/23/09 —

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Guesstimates on November 23, 2009 11/23/09 — December S&P E-mini Futures: The day session range estimate is 1096- 1112. I think the 1126 level will be reached within the next week or so. <o:p></o:p> QQQ: Next upside target is 45.60. Support is at 43.25. <o:p></o:p> TYX (thirty year bond yield): I think this mark...

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Guesstimates on November 20, 2009 11/20/09 — December S&P E-mini Futures: The day session range estimate is 1080- 1095. This morning the market dropped to within a point of its last low at 1082.50. I think that level will be broken briefly but a move up to 1126 should begin soon. <o:p></o:p> QQQ: Next upside target is 45.60. S...

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Supply shock 11/19/09 — Here is a 30 minute bar chart of e-mini day session trading. A supply shock hit the market this morning (red arrows and red dash oval). The question now is whether or not this shock means that the market is headed back down to 1030 or so.When I approach a question like this one I always try to interp...

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Guesstimates on November 19, 2009 11/19/09 — December S&P E-mini Futures: The day session range estimate is 1093- 1105. At the bottom of this range the market will match the length of the last break and stand at midpoint support defined by that break. I expect to see this rally reach the 1126 level within a few days. <o:p></o:p>...

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Update 11/18/09 — I had thought that today would be a bullish day but instead the e-minis have remained locked in the 1100-1112 trading range. I still think the market will breakout above this range late today or more probably tomorrow. In the meantime I don't think any drop below 1100 will carry very far or last very...

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sold one unit at 1004.00 11/18/09 —

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long one unit at 1107.75 11/18/09 —

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Guesstimates on November 18, 2009 11/18/09 — December S&P E-mini Futures: The day session range estimate is 1105-1118. I expect to see this rally reach the 1126 level within a few days. <o:p></o:p> QQQ: Next upside target is 45.60. <o:p></o:p> TYX (thirty year bond yield): I think this market has begun a move ...

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Update 11/17/09 — Here is an hourly chart of day session e-mini trading. Today's session has been narrow and trendless (so far). Still, the market is conveying important information even as it apparently does nothing. Notice the blue dash oval which encompasses the past two day sessions. It stands entirely above the l...

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sold long unit at 1004.00 - will try again later 11/17/09 —

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Long one unit at 1005.50 11/17/09 —

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More about Carl Futia

Avg exp holding time:
776.67 days

Website:
carlfutia.blogspot.com

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This is an automatic tracking account of the blog at carlfutia.blogspot.com. We scour all over the we ... more

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