1 point
posted on 08/21/08
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-23.28%
risk: conservative
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Great Result, Stock Pounded, Oppurtunity
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GME just posted .34 earnings for this quarter topping most of the streets expectations. However due to lower yearly guiandance and growth expectations (see my previous post on gme) the stock has been pounded today. This is exact scenario happened last quarter as well.
The management at GME is very conservative and have taken an approach to keep expectations curbed as they know they can not keep this up forever, although they are currently on a long and impressive streak.
Looking forward, GME looks like a great stock to pick up... soon. The stocks performance has been stellar in the latter months as the holiday season accounts for most of their earnings. Also on a valuation scale looking at the stock price of 40.95 (at the time of posting) the current P/E is nearly under 20. Historically GME has fetched a P/E of 28-36 however in this depressed market we could expect even lower, but under 20 definately is pushing it. Considering full year EPS is now projected at $2.5 and this is a conservative number which I feel they will most likely surpass. (by how much I don't know I have yet to finish the estimations) But for simplicity's sake hold a 2.5eps and a PE of 20 and you get a stock price of 50, which is 25% increase.
Now about when to load up on this stock? Anytime under 45 is a great buy in my opion, however strictly speaking from a momentum and technical basis I would wait till it falls near a strong support or slightly under as the stock may trend lower with the overal negativity in the market, however pure valuations will keep this stock from being pushed too far down.
Wait a day or two till people forget about the lowered growth guidance and ultimately realize GME is a steal. It is one of the few companies still growing in this depressed economy and at the very worse is a stong long term hold.
Best of Luck on your Investments,
Styex
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