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-1 point   posted on 01/02/08
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 3 %
-37.96%
 risk: moderate

punished Financials


When should I start to bottom-pick?

  Related to:  
BAC Bank of America Corp
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc The
AIB Allied Irish Banks P.L.C.


Comments (7)

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intuitivetrader    6 %     1 point   commented 685 days ago reply

Start your bottom picking now. Before the FED cuts intrest rates 2 more times. GS is good , but I am personaly more bullish on C and CFC and expect to see a larger gain sooner with these than with some of the larger institutions.

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Dontpanic
osubuckeye   37%     1 point   commented 480 days ago reply

Buy BAC and GS now, I'm not familiar with AIB. If you're brave, wait for a dip, but you could miss a good opportunity if you don't see a dip soon.

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tyanajordan   N/A     1 point   commented 480 days ago reply

Instead of picking the exact bottom now it may be advantageous to wait for the stock to become stable and form an uptrend again before buying. This may go down the investor the chance to get in when the prices are at their lowest but the benefits of profiting more frequently will be more important than the potential profit you may have missed out on.

http://savingadvicecom.blogspot.com/

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2087211683
stampada   62%     1 point   commented 480 days ago reply

The nature of your question implies that you probably should not be bottom picking. In order to do this correctly, you must have a method which incorporates timing, risk control, and volatility management. The method is important because relying upon rationality in a largely irrational environment can be deleterious to one's bank account. You might want to consider a simple, robust system based upon three, simple moving averages - 20d, 50d, & 100d. When the 20d rises above the 50d, make an initial purchase. When the 100d flattens and is exceeded by the 50d, the issue may be considered to be in a confirmed uptrend and you should be fully invested. CAVEAT: Support and resistance points are of paramount importance in bottom fishing. YOU MUST KNOW THE SUPPORT POINT WHICH IF BROKEN WOULD SIGNAL RESUMPTION OF THE DOWNWARD TREND AND NECESSITATE A TIMELY EXIT. Personally, I like issues which are exhibiting strength and are breaking above resistance. Bottom dwellers can remain "down" for much longer than most people can imagine.

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Human_factors
John Pantic   59%     2 points   commented 480 days ago reply

The best time to bottom pick is with hindsight

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abe Loren   61%     1 point   commented 480 days ago reply

If you are asking this question, then i would venture to say that bottom picking with real money is not for you right now. if you dont have a good enough "feel of the market", or are not confident in your decisions then you should do more research and wait until you have a more knowledgable understanding of the situation.

But i have myself asked this kind of question many times so i hate the kind of answer that i just gave above. it oftentimes leaves me feeling more unsure of myself than before i asked the question. so therefore i will provide an answer.
See my discussion that i will now post regarding bottom fishing

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traderdrew   51%     1 point   commented 478 days ago reply

you should bottom pick when stocks arnt going to go down anymore, statistically speaking that tends to be the best time... Complete sarcasm


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