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1 point   posted on 01/26/09
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December_21st___gallery_billiards_4
78%
+79.27%
 risk: conservative

PFE - lets see what happens to an acquirer


Puts on Pfizer

From this morning:
Moody's Monday placed Pfizer Inc.'s Aa1 long-term ratings under review for possible downgrade following the drug giant's announcement that it will buy Wyeth in a deal valued at $68 billion. "Pfizer's key credit ratios would initially erode from 'Aaa' ranges to 'Baa' ranges, and the combined Pfizer-Wyeth entity would still have relatively weak scores in patent exposures and late-stage pipeline quality," said Michael Levesque, Moody's senior vice president.

afternoon:
Pfizer Inc., the world's top drugmaker, said it will buy rival Wyeth for $68 billion in the biggest pharmaceutical merger in eight years. At the same time they reported a 90% plunge in fourth-quarter profit, stemming mostly from a large legal settlement, a 15% combined reduction in its workforce (19,000), and cut its dividend payment in half in order to help pay for the Wyeth acquisition.

"Investors will be pleased to know that this deal definitively addresses the revenue lost from Lipitor's loss of exclusivity," Pfizer CEO Jeff Kindler said on a conference call with analysts Monday morning. Lipitor will be going off patent protection next year.

  Related to:  
PFE Pfizer Inc


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Bradley Sugarman   78%     1 point   commented 308 days ago reply

Both Pfizer and Wyeth doled out about $50 million each to their investment bankers for advice on the deal, according to an estimate by Brad Hintz, an analyst with Sanford Bernstein. That means Morgan Stanley and Evercore Partners split Wyeth's advisory fees, while Bank of America, Goldman Sachs JPMorgan, Barclays Capital, and Citigroup split the fees from Pfizer.

Bloomberg News estimated that investment banks involved in the deal could share $207 million in fees.

Friday results: 100% change in return on $14 Puts in 5 days.

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alephandtao   84%     1 point   commented 307 days ago reply

I know that 2/3 of mergers lose money statistically, as long term investments. I'm not sure of the remaining 1/3 how many of the mergers make a premium over the amount that the same money would have made from a wise investment, to the extent that the merger is worth the headache.

Large, long standing corporate cultures usually don't merge well for reasons that can't be crunched into numbers.

I'd wait a while for any post merger euphoria to fade and short Pfizer.

Also don't expect drug makers to have a "licence to kill" anymore with Democrat House, Senate and executive. With increasing scandals, dangerous products and a different political climate expect the FDA rubber stamp to be put away.


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