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9 pts

Opinion on  Valero Energy Corp (VLO)     Sector: Energy  >  Industry: Oil & Gas Operations
Valero good here!

May 08, 2008 07:51 PM GMT
Newe14
Return Risk
-12.20% MID
Sr. Analyst

Valero has been hurt over the last 12 months. Could things improve? Margins have been squeezed by the rising cost of production. (cost of crude, ect.) This is called the "crack spread" which is the difference between the cost of crude and what they get for gasoline they produce. Last spring they got $34 a barrel. The stock hit a all time high. This spring they are getting about $ 6.00 a barrel, but as the summer comes around the crack spread could go alot higher. The stock is down 32% for the year. Although this stock could go down further, im jumping in now.


VLO:  This call was made on 05/08/08 @ $46.17
Rating:   Positive   $46.17 (05/08/08)
Gain/Loss:   -65.41% in 575 days
Target:   $55.00 (+19.12%) in Three months
Allocation:   33.1% of portfolio


Comments (4)

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Thomas George    9 %     3 points   commented 575 days ago reply

Thank you for the information about the crack spread-I had bought UGA on the same premise that crack spread is too low and will increase going forward.It is nice to see you put actual figures on the crack spread.I just knew that it was at a multiyear low.

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christi   N/A     3 points   commented 575 days ago reply

i also bought some VLO days ago. its great we think the same!

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dbourke   N/A     0 point   commented 544 days ago reply

I have been watching this stock. The crack spread seems to be narrowing - getting close to zero? with oil hitting $140 ... Interested to know what people think of VLO selling off refineries. Smart divesting move that signals diversification in its business model?? What do you think?

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dollarboy   N/A     0 point   commented 507 days ago reply

I agree with it all... With the sales... it is setting up Valero to turn around the whole thing, watch for it to change the way it does bussiness, as T Boone Pickens is a stock holder in vlo as well...


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piko N/A 05/27/2008
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Keven Lin 40% 05/08/2008



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