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31 pts

Opinion on  Asta Funding Inc. (ASFI)     Sector: Financial  >  Industry: Misc. Financial Services
This is an attempt to collect a debt

May 12, 2008 03:35 PM GMT
Gekko
Return Risk
+6.33% HIGH
Sr. Associate

Fundamental Analysis   Favorable/Unfavorable Valuation  

   The company is engaged in the business of purchasing, managing for its own account and servicing distressed consumer receivables, including charged-off receivables, semi-performing receivables and performing receivables.   Wouldn't you go long debt collectors in a bad economy? Especially a cheap one? This stock is trading at less than book with a single digit P/E, P/S, and P/(F)CF.  It's been decimated in the last year and is trading near its 52-week low.  Low float.  Only two analyts follow the stock.   
   The CEO's family just advanced the company money in order ot help it pay down it's revolving line of credit, so management is definitely committed.  This is bottom fishing, so be prepared for wild swings before things get better. 


Update 05/21:

The CEO chalked this up to trouble collecting.  That's to be expected during a recession.  The stock is now trading at a 52-week low.  I'm still like this company and would pick up additional shares.  Things are bad, but a P/E of 2 is ridiculous. 
   Tbere is cause for concern though.  The debt-to-equity ratio is atrocious(1.29), but that is actually on the low side for the industry.  The margins are enormous if they can find a way to collect.  Failing that, the company must be able to find new sources of cash in order to make it through the hard times ahead.  Maybe the Stern family can keep it afloat.  Maybe not.  The insiders own over a quarter of the company stock, so they have every incentive to make things work. 


Update 08/12:

ASFI 's business contracted across the board. This is not necessarily a bad thing.  They've been paying down debt and being very picky about the debt they buy.  This stock is a good bellweather for how the economy is going.  These guys are vultures and if the carrion doesn't look all that great to them,that should give all of us pause.  Were there any bright spots?  Yes.  Shareholder equity increased a bit. 


Update 01/09:

ASFI is trading at the following multiples:

P/E: 1.68
P/S: 0.25
P/B: 0.14
P/CF: 1.59
P/FCF: 0.57

  Does this company deserve to be cheap?  Yes. They are in danger fo being delisted. It has a crushing debt load.  Institutions have abandoned the stock. They are trying to collect debts in a bad economy. 
  Don't think  I'm not eyeing ECPG. 

 


ASFI:  This call was made on 05/12/08 @ $9.56
Rating:   Positive   $9.56 (05/12/08)
Gain/Loss:   -26.36% in 558 days
Target:   in > one year


Comments (1)

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abates   N/A     3 points   commented 557 days ago reply

Isnt some of the profit due to their ability to collect debt? and in a bad economy wouldn't that be more difficult?


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Who voted on this idea?
piko N/A 05/27/2008



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