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Opinion on  Suncor Energy Inc (SU)     Sector: Energy  >  Industry: Oil & Gas - Integrated
Suncor Energy

Jun 03, 2008 11:08 AM GMT
Foto
Return Risk
-24.55% HIGH
Principal

Fundamental Analysis  

Stock Gain Time Held

                                          
                                                                                            
Suncor Energy 195% 36 Months



SU Market Data

Currency US Dollars
Share Price $68.56  
Change Today $0.16
52 Week High $72.95
52 Week Low $41.96
Volume 3,657,967
Beta 0.78
RiskGrade 190
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Trades for 02-Jun-2008

Time Volume / Share Price
18:15 100 @ $68.60
16:49 200 @ $68.56
16:48 800 @ $68.56
16:15 21,000 @ $68.08
16:13 1,400 @ $68.08
Dividend Information
Dividend Yield:
0.60 %
Dividend Yield 5yr Avg:
0.40 %
Dividend Rate:
$ 0.40 %
Dividend Payout Ratio:
6.00 %
Dividend Payout Ratio 5yr Avg:
8.00 %
Dividend Growth Rate 3yr Avg:
21.78 %
Dividend Growth Rate 5yr Avg:
22.12 %
Dividend AllStar™ Ranking:
Consecutive Div. Increases:
2 years
Dividend Payment Type:
Cash
Dividend Declaration Date:
Apr-24-2008
Dividend Ex Date:
Jun-02-2008
Dividend Record Date:
Jun-04-2008
Dividend Pay Date:
Jun-25-2008
Dividend Amount:
0.0998
Dividend Payments:
Last 12 months payments: 4
1994

Suncor Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated energy company in Canada. It operates through four segments: Oil Sands, Natural Gas, Energy Marketing and Refining, and Refining and Marketing. The Oil Sands segment recovers bitumen, primarily through oil sands mining and in-situ development, and upgrades it into refinery feedstock, diesel fuel, and by-products. This segment offers light sweet crude oil/diesel and light sour crude oil/bitumen. The Natural Gas segment explores, acquires, develops, and produces natural gas and natural gas liquids from reserves in western Alberta and northeastern British Columbia. This segment also acquires land and explores for coal bed methane in the United States. The Energy Marketing and Refining segment refines crude oil into a range of petroleum, petrochemical, and biofuel products. It offers gasoline, diesel, jet fuels, petrochemicals, heating fuels, and heavy fuel oils for industrial, wholesale, commercial, and retail customers principally in Ontario and Quebec. This segment also engages in third party energy marketing and trading activities. The Refining and Marketing segment refines and markets jet fuels, diesel, gasoline, and asphalt. This segment also transports crude oil through wholly or partly owned pipelines in Wyoming and Colorado. In addition, the company carry on energy trading activities focused principally on buying and selling futures contracts and other derivative instruments based on the commodities it produce. Suncor Energy sells its products in the United States, Canada, and Europe. The company, formerly known as Suncor, Inc., was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.


Update 07/13:

<center> <font> Chart by StockCharts.com </font> </center> Please turn on your ability to receive graphics. We are providing you with a detailed chart of this stock. If you are unable to turn on graphics, please CLICK HERE or on the *Read Our Weekend Report Online* link above. <font> <font> SU (Suncor Energy, Inc.)
Company Profile
The market was primed for a downturn last week and we set up some nice plays to take advantage of that. </font> </font>

<font> <font> SU is a tar sand stock and as it is expensive to extract the stock really tracks the price of crude. Just so happens the dollar is strengthening and worries of a double dip in the world economy are teaming up on the price of oil. Thus they are teaming up on the price of SU. </font> </font>

<font> <font> Put SU on the report on 6-24-09 as it rebounded from a break of the 50 day EMA just two sessions prior. It bounced up to the 50 day and stalled; if it fell back we looked to buy some puts and ride the next leg lower. </font> </font>

<font> <font> It ended up taking SU a big longer to fall. It rallied up through the 50 day the next session and then stalled out, moving laterally for two more sessions. It was still below a key resistance level so we simply moved our buy point higher, tracking the movement of the stock in the pattern. On 7-1 it gapped higher and tapped that resistance only to roll over and closed back down below the 50 day EMA. </font> </font>

<font> <font> That is when we moved in. We bought some August $30 strike put options for $2.55, quite reasonable and with a relatively low implied volatility level as well as a -63 delta we stood to make a nice gain as SU fell back. It gapped lower the next session, dropping 3.5%. Gapped lower again Monday, losing 5.8% though it did bounce off the session low at some support at $26. That was our initial target level so we sold half of our position for $4.70, banking 84%, not bad for less than 4 sessions in the trade. We did not sell it all because SU can break that support and really tank; it often pays big dividends to let a part of your trade run with the trend despite hitting a near term support or resistance level. We will be attentive, however, as SU slid laterally the next four sessions, holding that support. </font> </font>


SU:  This call was made on 06/03/08 @ $68.47
Rating:   Positive   $68.47 (06/03/08)
Gain/Loss:   -48.61% in 525 days
Target:   $80.00 (+16.84%) in > one year
Allocation:   0.1% of portfolio


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ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 21.10 +34.57% 370
2 18.14 +68.57% 207
3 17.66 +25.68% 53
4 13.47 +14.32% 61
5 12.13 +77.15% 34


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