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7 pts

Opinion on  United States Oil Fund LP (USO)     Sector: Financial  >  Industry: Misc. Financial Services
Bearish on USO ...

Jun 13, 2008 06:03 AM GMT
Return Risk
-12.56% MID
Associate

Leason Learned, Speculators drove fear in people to buy OIL USO and others alike. Now that same actions proved it can drive the Dollar down and almost all other markets. With that knowledge Global investments & Gov'ts are putting what they have into the Dollar. As more investments go into the Dollar AND those who sell their USO OIL to grab up on the US Dollar, it will weaken this stocks value. As that happens More investors will buy all those shares which where driven down by the inflated Oil values and ride those sloped stocks gain ride back up. It wont happen over night but it has aready felt the first few ripples this week. Speculators have only the price contract window to buy and hedge for price contracts in small windows as they come. That is why they never mention about what oil lines are coming back online which have been non working like the northern Iraq pipe line which is almost repaired, but once the oil fill that pipe it puts a dent in these short window speculators. SO much oil has only barrowed the market value from the US Dollar, and now Globally people and goverments see how to reverse the value from oil back to the dollar. Once that trends goes up, everyone globally will be able to buy more oil for less money, making many other market values get more bang for the dollar.


Update 06/14:

IMF To Investigate Factors Behind Oil Price Surge June 14th article
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2008/NEW061408A...


USO:  This call was made on 06/13/08 @ $108.82
Rating:   Negative   $108.82 (06/13/08)
Closed:   06/15/2008 @ $112.6 (-3.47% in 2 days)


Comments (3)

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nextfundmanager   N/A     1 point   commented 528 days ago reply

it does seem suspect that americans have been pulling back in their oil consumption as have others in developed nations worldwide and yet the price of oil continues to spike with such force

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cuddlytiger81   67%     0 point   commented 528 days ago reply

Whatever: The US doller keeps going down for a very easy reason to spot: 100 trillon in debt with a war economy that needs more debt to keep operating... Get it together US Gov or the Communist will take your world power...

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mstrans   42%     1 point   commented 527 days ago reply

As they say Lawyers should be at the bottom of the ocean, more people are strating to include Brokers who have no assets, and yet act as a middle man.
Just as in the real-estate market crash, brokers would sell over priced homes to under income people, the people move in and the title gets sold off to a new mortgage holder a month later. These brokers walk away with all the money leaving the new bank holding a hot risky potato.
Same with oil contract broker FUNDS, there is no asset on a contract, like say shares in gold, you own some gold. Shares in Exxon you own a piece of that company. Shares like these are just paper contracts.
This broker contract buy sell trade, is just like a barrel of oil having a "Title or Note" they buy it and sell it off quickly. But when your shares goes south, do they sell FUNDS like these off to a new company? If so then the new company has jack and the new companies real assets take a hit.
Same story like the real estate, just different product "Title or Note"
That's my input.
Why do you think companies set these up as funds seperate from the main asset of the companies trading names. That is just like when a company sees a division under a company has now good profit outlook they sell off a division of the company, or have legal ways to just bankrupt a division with out hurting the main branch.


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