The FinancialContent Network     SocialPicks Community   |   MarketMinute Monitor   |   MarketMinute Market Updates   |   MarketMinute Stock News
SocialPicks
   Sign Up   |   Log In   |   What is SocialPicks?     
6 pts

Opinion on  Advanced Magnetics Inc. (AMAG)     Sector: Healthcare  >  Industry: Biotechnology & Drugs
Advanced Magnetics Inc.

Jul 04, 2008 08:53 AM GMT
Foto
Return Risk
-24.55% HIGH
Principal

Analyst Recommendation  

AMAG Pharmaceuticals' Ferumoxytol meets Phase III clinical trial end point.

On May 31st, AMAG Pharmaceuticals ( NASDAQ: AMAG , Stock Forum ) announced results from a randomized phase III study of Ferumoxytol, an intravenous (IV) iron replacement therapy, in 31 patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 1-5 with functioning kidney transplants. The primary endpoint was the mean change in hemoglobin from baseline at Day 35.

The following results were obtained (copied from business wire press release at Yahoo.com)

For the primary endpoint, the mean change in hemoglobin from baseline at Day 35, there was a statistically significant greater mean (± standard deviation) increase in hemoglobin in patients receiving ferumoxytol compared with patients receiving oral iron (ferumoxytol 1.45 ± 1.27 g/dl vs. oral iron -0.09 ± 1.47 g/dl, p=0.035). There was also a statistically significantly greater mean increase in hemoglobin from baseline at Day 21 in patients receiving ferumoxytol compared with patients receiving oral iron (ferumoxytol 1.04 ± 0.97 g/dl vs. oral iron 0.23 ± 0.52 g/dl; p=0.035). A higher proportion of ferumoxytol-treated patients compared with oral iron-treated patients achieved a 1.0 g/dL or greater rise in hemoglobin at Day 21 (47.8% vs. 12.5%; p=0.108) and Day 35 (60.9% vs. 25.0%; p=0.113).

These results may look good at first glance but there may be some analysts who argue that the limited number of patients, as well as a lack of long-term follow-up data and the overall trial not representing actual clinical use patterns, may cause the FDA to ask for more data before approving the drug.

Nevertheless, the company has signed a development and commercialization agreement granting 3Sbio Inc. ( NASDAQ: SSRX , Stock Forum ) the rights to the Chinese market for $1 million upfront payment and double-digit royalties, tiered up to 25%.

Interestingly, two analysts have "buy" ratings and price targets of $99 and $80 on shares of AMAG. There is definitely a large worldwide potential market for Ferumoxytol; however, had the company designed the pivotal trial differently, it would have increased its chances of approval. Right now it is prudent to consider a higher chance for the FDA to ask for more data.

Financially, the company is in decent shape with over $200 million in cash. It is noteworthy to mention that the company has had significant losses in its auction rate security portfolio that may or may not continue to hurt its liquid assets.

Shares of AMAG have been trading as low as $34.10, or a little over twice the amount of cash on hand.


AMAG:  This call was made on 07/04/08 @ $37.65
Rating:   Positive   $37.65 (07/04/08)
Gain/Loss:   -2.79% in 624 days
Target:   $100.00 (+165.60%) in > one year


Add Comment

Be the first to comment on this story and earn 2 points.

Your Comment



ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 21.10 +32.50% 423
2 18.14 +55.00% 237
3 17.66 +24.06% 64
4 13.47 +14.32% 65
5 12.13 +94.43% 55


POPULAR STOCKS
Symbol Company Name Sentiment

TODAY'S HEADLINES

TODAY'S TOP PICKS

 
Advanced Magnetics Inc. (AMAG)
   SocialPicks Sentiment:   

   This Quarter's Sentiment:
All:
100.0%
Top:
100.0%




Latest Picks by Marian Filo
Symbol SP Sentiment Rating Return Since
LMNX Positive +3.76% 03/12/10
CADC N/A Positive -5.12% 03/12/10
MFB N/A Positive +0.37% 03/12/10
HUB.B N/A Positive n/a 03/12/10
TVL N/A Positive -10.54% 03/12/10

View All >
   




IN THE PRESS
Press_forbes Press_washingtonpost Press_wsj Press_npr Press_techcrunch