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6 pts

Opinion on  Peabody Energy Corp (BTU)     Sector: Energy  >  Industry: Coal
It's Time to Buy Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU) and other coals

Jul 07, 2008 07:59 AM GMT
Blokm2-seekingalpha2
Return Risk
-10.19% HIGH
Associate

Sell-off pressure on coal mining on the last week was driven by worries amidst deteriorating economy. But a Citi's Analyst wrote, "This [sell-off] seems profit-taking amid a deteriorating economy, and the 'End of the beginning, not the beginning of the end'". He upgraded BTU and Arch Coal (ACI) from "hold" to "buy".

Energy Department estimates that electricity from a carbon-capturing plant with sequestration will cost 8 cents to generate one KWH in today's money by 2016. That figure does not take into account any benefit from selling carbon credits or any revenue from selling carbon dioxide. The same study projects a cost of 6 cents per KWH for a conventional coal plant, 7 cents for one fueled by natural gas, 6 cents for nuclear reactions and for wind, and 29 cents for solar (after subsidies). The feds estimate that a plant like Summit's, capturing 60% of carbon, would have to sell its CO 2 for $42 or more per ton to be competitive with 6-cent electricity from a conventional coal plant.

For the technical analysis please visit my blog at http://conquerthewallstreet.blogspot.com/2008/07/lets-conside...


BTU:  This call was made on 07/07/08 @ $77.07
Rating:   Positive   $77.07 (07/07/08)
Gain/Loss:   -45.23% in 489 days
Target:   $120.00 (+55.70%) in > one year


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