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Guru: Paul McWilliams Newsletter: Next Inning Technology Research BUY: Harmonic (nasdsaq: HLIT) HLIT is the only broad-line pure-play video infrastructure company of meaningful size left standing in the market today. The only other pure-play of substance, Arris (ARRS), has virtually nothing to offer in the way of head-end equipment, which is and will continue to be the most important and profitable side of the video infrastructure business. HLIT's three primary markets are cable, satellite and the budding world of telecom video or IPTV. As we all know, there is a war raging between these three competing methods for delivering TV programming. Fortunately HLIT is positioned to help all three industries capitalize on strengths and overcome weaknesses and deploy emerging IPTV features that will radically change the way we all view the TV experience. HLIT has also positioned itself to provide critical transcoding technology to web based, broadcast and the emerging content aggregation video businesses. This opens exciting new markets for HLIT, and also provides the technology HLIT's traditional customer base need. At the end of 2005, HLIT removed founder and CEO, Tony Ley, and replaced him with Patrick Harshman. During his short 28 months at the helm, Harshman has reorganized operations, reduced both fixed and variable operating costs and completed two strategic acquisitions. As a result, while revenues were up 26% year-overyear in 2007, pro forma operating profits soared 326% for the year. Add to this that HLIT will soon report its seventh straight profitable quarter and I think you have a success story that Wall Street has yet to acknowledge. KEY STATS: Recent Price: $7.71 52 Week High: $12.95 52 Week Low: $7.40 Market Cap ($MIL): $790.50 2007 Revenues ($MIL): $311.20 2007 Net Income ($MIL): $23.42 2007 EPS: $0.28 2007 Gross Margin: 42.9 2008 Est. EPS: $0.69 2008 Est. P/E: 12.2 Dividend Yield (%): NA Short Interest/float (%): 8.2 Forbes Gurus---25 Stocks, ETFs and Funds for the Second Half 2008 12 (nasdsaq: HLIT)
Analysts' Recommendation: | Buy | | 30 Days Ago: | Buy | | | Analysts' Target: | $11 | | Analysts' Targets | | Brean Murray & Co. | $13 | | Hold | Thursday, June 05, 2008 | | C.L. King & Associates | $13 | | Strong Buy | Wednesday, June 04, 2008 | | UBS Securities | $9 | | Hold | Thursday, April 24, 2008 | | Lehman Brothers | $10 | | Equal-weight | Thursday, April 24, 2008 | | Avondale Partners | $10 | | Mkt Outperform | Tuesday, April 01, 2008 | | Needham & Co. | $12 | | Hold | Monday, March 24, 2008 | | Currency | US Dollars | | Share Price | $9.54 | | Change Today | -$0.12 | | 52 Week High | $12.69 | | 52 Week Low | $7.54 | | Volume | 499,495 | | Beta | 1.01 | | RiskGrade | 179 | <!-- -- END secondColHolder ----> | Strong Buy | 7 | | Buy | 2 | | Neutral | 3 | | Sell | 0 | | Strong Sell | 0 | | Total | 12 | | 16:00 | 7,915 @ $9.54 red colour | | 15:59 | 100 @ $9.55 red colour | | 15:59 | 100 @ $9.56 green colour | | 15:59 | 100 @ $9.56 green colour | | 15:59 | Harmonic, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells video products and system solutions that enable service providers to deliver broadcast and on-demand services. These broadcast and on-demand video services include high-definition television, video-on-demand, network personal video recording, and time-shifted TV. The company offers video processing products that comprise encoders, multiplexing solutions, stream processing products, and decoders and descramblers; and edge and access products, which include server gateways, transmitters and optical amplifiers, optical nodes and return path transmitters, and Internet protocol transmission equipment. Its management and control software products consist of NMX Digital Service Manager that gives service providers the ability to control and visually monitor their digital video infrastructure at an aggregate level; and NETWatch management system, which operates in broadband networks to capture measurement data and enables the broadband service operator to monitor and control the hybrid fiber-coax transmission network from a master headend or remote locations. In addition, Harmonic provides various application software products that comprise ClearCut software, which provides operators with digital storage of real-time broadcasts for on-demand services; ProStream 8000 solution that allows operators to present on-screen mosaics with certain channels tiled within a single video stream; and Armada and Streamliner products for the management of an operator’s video-on-demand assets and the distribution of these assets to subscribers. Further, it offers consulting, implementation, and maintenance services. The company sells its products to various broadband communications companies through its own direct sales force, as well as independent distributors and integrators in the United States and internationally. Harmonic was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California. www.harmonicinc.com
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HLIT:
This call was made
on 07/19/08
@ $9.54
| Rating: |
$9.54 (07/19/08)
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| Gain/Loss: |
-44.97%
in
504 days
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| Target: |
$14.00
(+46.75%)
in > one year
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