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7 pts

Opinion on  Apple Computer Inc (AAPL)     Sector: Technology  >  Industry: Computer Hardware
IPhone is going to be AAPL's downfall

Apr 02, 2007 06:11 PM GMT
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Return Risk
-36.68% HIGH
Analyst

expecting iPhone to do what iPod did to apple is a mistake

1. when iPod was introduced it was out of the world cool design with no one at number 2 place. This is not true for iPhone. You have excellent products nearly as similar as iPhone - check out HTC Touch , LG Prada and Blackberry has something out also.

2. Having a closed technology architecture was not that important for iPod. There was just  one application on the iPod and Apple provided the software for the application - iTunes Free.  This is not going to be the case for iPhone. Dont expect Google Maps to be release on iPhone anytime soon.  Also if you are using some other software like Salesforce.com on your mobile. Forget it to be made avaiable for iPhone.

3. and lastly - APPL was the dark horse at the time of iPod. It now has the problem of higher expectations

 


Update 06/06:

AAPL has high expectation and poor upside potential


AAPL:  This call was made on 04/02/07 @ $93.2
Rating:   Negative   $93.2 (04/02/07)
Gain/Loss:   -119.09% in 970 days


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