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3 pts

Opinion on  United Parcel Service, Inc (UPS)     Sector: Transportation  >  Industry: Trucking
A Global Transport ETF Strategy

Aug 09, 2008 04:52 PM GMT
Mikerun
Return Risk
+1.04% LOW
Principal

Investors are currently limited to the iShares Dow Jones Transports (IYT) as a transport ETF option with net assets of $698 million and 20 component stocks (stats as of 8/8/08 from the iShares website ). The top five holdings account for 43.2% of invested assets and include the following: Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI, 10.7%), Union Pacific (UNP, 9.6%), FedEx (FDX, 9.1%), Overseas Shipholding Group (OSG, 6.9%), and United Parcel (UPS, 6.9%). In addition, the iShares Dow Transports ETF also includes three passenger airlines: AMR Corp. (AMR), Continental (CAL), and JetBlue (JBLU); although the combined weighting for these three companies is negligible; they represent an opportunity cost by occupying three positions in the fund and omit industry leader Southwest Airlines (LUV).

As evidence of increased commercial interest and product development of globally-focused transport ETFs among major ETF providers, the following ideas have recently been filed with the SEC: Claymore/Delta Global Shipping , PowerShares Global Transportation , and SPDR Transportation .

My strategy for a family of four global transport ETFs is outlined below with links provided to more details on the component index for each segment:

1.) Global Logistics PerformIdex - composite (30 stocks) blend of rails (8), maritime (8) , trucking (8), and air freight/delivery (6)

2.) Global Railroad BULLISHares - long rail transport

3.) Global Maritime BULLISHares - long waterway transport

4.) Global Airline BEARISHares - short passenger airlines


UPS:  This call was made on 08/09/08 @ $65.45
Rating:   Neutral/Hold   $65.45 (08/09/08)
Closed:   10/03/2008 @ $60.03 (-8.28% in 55 days)


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