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7 pts

Opinion on  Zale Corp. (ZLC)     Sector: Services  >  Industry: Retail (Specialty)
Propped-up stock price does not reflect current environment

Aug 24, 2008 12:31 AM GMT
Return Risk
-1.40% LOW
Analyst

Fundamental Analysis  

ZLC is not far from a 52-week high, who would have known we are in the midst of what some would call a recession & credit meltdown?  Whitehall Jewelers, a competitor, has gone bankrupt and is liquidating its merchandise thru the holidays.  This may put downward pressure on ZLC.  Gold is off its $1000 high, but still expensive, another thing that may deter customers.  ZLC trades at a lofty valuation and has a large short interest.  The stock price seems to be propped up (similar to LAMR being propped up) considering the dim prospects and relative to competitors like aforementioned Whitehall and also NILE.  Eventually I believe reality will be reflected into the stock price.


ZLC:  This call was made on 08/24/08 @ $23.29
Rating:   Negative   $23.29 (08/24/08)
Gain/Loss:   +79.13% in 440 days
Target:   $15.00 (-35.59%) in Six months


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