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7 pts

Opinion on  Google Inc (GOOG)     Sector: Technology  >  Industry: Computer Services
Picking an entry point

Sep 20, 2008 01:41 PM GMT
Socialpicks
Return Risk
-5.64% LOW
Analyst

My bet is that the market has set a short term bottom and Goog seems to be a good play at least through the next 6 weeks and so I will start my SocialPicks position at this point. Long term I really like Goog and expect it to be a good performer. I thought it would follow the broader market and held back waiting for a bit of a fall. It did just that falling from the 520 range to the 420 range. The last two days, it has jumped as the market tries to set a nice bottom with the full support of the US government beneath it. Realistically, on this Saturday during these crazy times, this continues to be a bit of a gamble as who knows what will happen over the course of the weekend, but I'm betting that short term momentum continues and the ban on shorts remains in tact through the elections in November and so Goog has some good days ahead. Make no mistake about it, Goog will follow the broader market, but if we are turning, then I think it will outperform on the way up. Realistically, I wouldn't invest the money until Monday AM but SocialPicks is lower down my priority list and so I need to make these calls a bit more out in front.


GOOG:  This call was made on 09/20/08 @ $454.13
Rating:   Positive   $454.13 (09/20/08)
Gain/Loss:   +28.98% in 440 days
Target:   $520.00 (+14.50%) in One month


Comments (4)

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Jpeg_sun4agk
Locationh   61%     1 point   commented 439 days ago reply

Google is a great company but the stock price, a PE of 29 and a wide gap back in April to fill plus no dividend makes it a negative for my portfolio. Heavy trading says different.

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Kbe_4-14
nextfundmanager   N/A     1 point   commented 438 days ago reply

This has seemed like a good buy for a while, even in this market I wonder when funds havent started picking this one up

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Socialpicks
demetrious   36%     1 point   commented 436 days ago reply

traderdrew - I agree. Honestly that is why SocialPicks is so different than real purchasing and real investing. Ironically, I try to keep SocialPicks consistent with my real purchases but in reality I'm basically all cash and when my picks flipped, I closed them out quickly to preserve capital.

I keep trying to come up with some way to have this site match my real trading practices but they don't function the same with essentially all or none bets only allowed here. I can't double down on my AAPL position at this time for example. It has been played and it is down with the market, so I hold it.

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traderdrew   51%     1 point   commented 437 days ago reply

As much as I hate to recommend this strategy you may want to dollar cost average into this one


Your Comment

Who voted on this idea?
dbljay321 N/A 10/03/2008



ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 21.10 +34.44% 381
2 18.14 +71.24% 211
3 17.66 +25.60% 55
4 13.47 +14.32% 62
5 12.13 +74.22% 40


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