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8 pts

Opinion on  Capital One Financial Corp. (COF)     Sector: Financial  >  Industry: Regional Banks
The Next Meltdown: $950 bn Worth of Outstanding Credit-Card Debt—Much of it toxic

Oct 12, 2008 10:30 AM GMT
Blokm2-seekingalpha2
Return Risk
-11.15% HIGH
Associate

Rising rates are accelerating credit-card defaults and soured debt could further undermine the financial system

The next horror for beaten-down financial firms is the $950 billion worth of outstanding credit-card debt—much of it toxic.

That's bad news for players like JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC) that have largely sidestepped—and even benefited from—the mortgage mess but have major credit-card operations. They're hardly alone. The consumer debt bomb is already beginning to spray shrapnel throughout the financial markets, further weakening the U.S. economy. "The next meltdown will be in credit cards," says Gregory Larkin, senior analyst at research firm Innovest Strategic Value Advisors. Adds William Black, senior vice-president of Moody's Investors Service's structured finance team: "We still haven't hit the post-recessionary peaks [in credit-card losses], so things will get worse before they get better." What's more, the U.S. Treasury Dept.'s $700 billion mortgage bailout won't be a lifeline for credit-card issuers.


Read more http://conquerthewallstreet.blogspot.com/2008/10/next-meltdow...


COF:  This call was made on 10/12/08 @ $38.67
Rating:   Negative   $38.67 (10/12/08)
Gain/Loss:   +1.60% in 408 days
Target:   $5.00 (-87.07%) in Six months


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