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9 pts

Opinion on  Biotech HOLDRs Trust Biotech HOLDRs Trust (BBH)     Sector: Financial  >  Industry: Misc. Financial Services
Amgen Exceeds Expectations, Again

Oct 22, 2008 08:32 PM GMT
Mikerun
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Amgen Exceeds Expectations, Again

Shares of Amgen (AMGN) have moved into the green in after-hours trading following a late-day Wall Street sell-off that had the Dow tanking by over 500 points. As I wrote earlier today , Amgen was able to both exceed profit and sales expectations for 3Q08 and raise its full-year profit guidance as it had done three months ago when reporting 2Q08 results. Even with the current pop in after-hours to around $54 per share, Amgen is only trading at a PE of 12X on the mid-point of its 2008 profit guidance of $4.45 to $4.55 per share.Amgen posted EPS of $1.23 versus $1.08 consensus estimates on revenue of $3.88B versus $3.7B consensus estimates. Results of key drugs for the Company include:

- Epogen sales up 5% to $634M

- Aranesp sales up 3% to $845M

- Neulasta + Neupogen sales up 8% to $1.19B

- Enbrel sales up 9% to $893M

- Sensipar sales up 32% to $161M

Amgen ended 3Q08 with $9.8B in cash and $11.2B in debt. The Company raised both it revenue guidance ($14.9-$15.2B) and profit guidance ($4.45-$4.55 per share) for the full-year. Amgen is currently trading at a market cap around $53B, which results in a price/sales ratio of about 3.5X and a price/earnings ratio of about 12, based on full-year guidance for 2008. As a comparison, Genetech (DNA) trades at over 7X sales and a forward PE of over 20X, with an outstanding buyout bid from Roche (RHHBY) to buy out its remaining stake in the company.


BBH:  This call was made on 10/22/08 @ $165.34
Rating:   Positive   $165.34 (10/22/08)
Closed:   11/01/2008 @ $175.31 (+6.03% in 10 days)


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