The FinancialContent Network     SocialPicks Community   |   MarketMinute Monitor   |   MarketMinute Market Updates   |   MarketMinute Stock News
SocialPicks
   Sign Up   |   Log In   |   What is SocialPicks?     
9 pts

Opinion on  FreeportMcMoRan Copper & Gold Inc (FCX)     Sector: Basic Materials  >  Industry: Metal Mining
A Coiled Spring: Near-Term Catalysts & Oversold Stocks

Dec 03, 2008 05:09 PM GMT
Mikerun
Return Risk
+1.04% LOW
Principal

A Coiled Spring: Near-Term Catalysts & Oversold Stocks

AMAG Pharma (AMAG) more than doubled on word that the FDA accepted its complete response for a NDA of iron-deficiency anemia drug ferumoxytol in patients with chronic kidney disease and will issue a final ruling before year-end. The news is a major relief for AMAG as no new clinical trials were required and the quick decision deadline before year-end is encouraging for the approval prospects of ferumoxytol.

A trio of companies expect FDA decisions for abuse-resistant pain drugs before year-end, including Pain Therapeutics (PTIE) + King Pharma (KG) for Remoxy and Alpharma (ALO) for Embeda. Now that Alpharma has accepted King's buyout bid, the latter reflects a way to trade both decisions in a single stock for twice the chances of approval.

Caraco Pharma (CPD) offers U.S. investors a way to play India-based Sun Pharma's growth through their distribution agreement and the Company believes it has addressed the issues raised in the FDA warning letter completely, which provides a potential upside catalyst upon resolution. Caraco has lost an astounding two-thirds of its market value in just the past month and over three-quarters of value in the past year despite the fact the Company has enough cash on hand ($33.6M) to buy back almost its entire float of 11.3M outstanding shares at current prices.

Cypress Bioscience (CYPB) is still waiting for a FDA decision for milnacipran in the treatment of fibromyalgia, which has been widely used as an anti-depressant in Europe and other markets for over a decade. The FDA missed its mid-October decision deadline, but said it expected to resolve the matter in a "matter of weeks", which is encouraging since the agency did not simply delay the deadline by three months as it has done in many recent cases. Another key event is Phase 3 results for the drug for the same indication, with results expected before year-end.

A FDA decision is also possible before year-end for Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Medarex (MEDX) for a biological agent, Stelara (ustekinumab), in the treatment of psoriasis – with a FDA panel endorsement this past June and clinical trial results in September which showed it was more effective than Amgen's (AMGN) Enbrel in a short-term, 12-week study of patients with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis.

Material Stock Opportunities? Freeport McMoRan (FCX) is tanking today after suspending its dividend and cutting copper production in the face of waning demand and low prices. However, with FCX trading with a 17-handle today compared to triple digit highs this past summer, the stock is one to watch for a buy on the prospects for a rebound in housing and the overall economy. Along with FCX, other beaten-up basic materials companies include Alcoa (AA), Barrick Gold (ABX), Silver Wheaton (SLW), and Potash (POT).


FCX:  This call was made on 12/03/08 @ $17.67
Rating:   Positive   $17.67 (12/03/08)
Gain/Loss:   +349.92% in 339 days


Add Comment

Be the first to comment on this story and earn 2 points.

Your Comment



ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 21.10 +35.25% 368
2 18.14 +70.90% 206
3 17.66 +25.78% 53
4 13.47 +14.32% 60
5 12.13 +69.23% 34


POPULAR STOCKS
Symbol Company Name Sentiment

TODAY'S HEADLINES

TODAY'S TOP PICKS

 
FreeportMcMoRan Copper & Gold Inc (FCX)
   SocialPicks Sentiment:   

   This Quarter's Sentiment:
All:
79.5%
Top:
50.0%




Latest Picks by Mike Havrilla
Symbol SP Sentiment Rating Return Since
EXAS Positive -0.76% 11/07/09
NFES N/A Positive n/a 11/07/09
IMUC N/A Positive n/a 11/07/09
ESALY N/A Negative n/a 11/04/09
PFE Negative -0.53% 11/04/09

View All >
   
Mike Havrilla previously rated FCX
Positive -55.21% The Panic Trade: A 20-Stock Defensive Growth Portfolio
10/12/2008
9
Positive -7.65% A Value Play on Commodity Sell-Off & Forced Hedge Fund Liquidation
10/03/2008
1
Positive -42.97% A Global Metal & Mineral Mining Index
09/04/2008
3
Positive -10.56% Global Metal Mining BULLISHares
08/08/2008
3





IN THE PRESS
Press_forbes Press_washingtonpost Press_wsj Press_npr Press_techcrunch