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6 pts

Opinion on  Alpha Pro Tech Ltd (APT)     Sector: Consumer Cyclical  >  Industry: Apparel/Accessories
Alpha Pro Tech's (APT) Compelling Breakout Quarter

Aug 18, 2009 04:47 PM GMT
Geologo
Return Risk
+16.67% LOW
Sr. Analyst

Favorable/Unfavorable Valuation  

On August 6, 2009, ($3.57) the GeoTeam coded Alpha Pro Tech (NYSE Amex:APT) as a GeoSpecial  after the company reported strong 2009 second quarter financial results.  Although we never established a large investment position in Alpha Pro Tech, we had been monitoring the company for several years.  Over the past three years the Company's revenues were relatively stagnant and its earnings per share growth was far from spectacular.

When the company reported that second quarter revenues increased 63% to $14.5 million and earnings per share increased 400% $0.10 vs. $0.07 for all of 2008 , the APT story became more compelling, prompting us to dig a bit deeper.

Please see tables.

Major topics to be addressed:

1. Was this quarter an aberration? Will the company revert back to reporting earnings per share figures between $0.02 to $0.05 as it has over the past three years.

2.  The Company has seen a significant contribution to its revenues from its N-95 respirator masks.  It has been able to take advantage of public concern over the swine influenza A (H1N1 Influenza A) virus infection pandemic.  How long will this trend last? What happens when influenza concerns are alleviated?

3.  Alpha ProTech manufactures and markets a line of construction weatherization products, including building wrap and roof underlaymen.  What are the prospects of this product line in the midst of the current economic environment? As the housing market has suffered, how has the company been able to experience robust growth in this product line?

As we listened to a replay of the company's second quarter conference call, we heard the company portray a sense of bullishness and confidence in the continuation of its current growth trend, possibly alleviating our concerns that this quarter's financial results were an anomaly.

The GeoTeam ® will have more details soon.


APT:  This call was made on 08/18/09 @ $3.41
Rating:   Positive   $3.41 (08/18/09)
Closed:   08/18/2009 @ $3.4299 (+0.58% in 8 minutes)
Target:   $4.00 (+17.30%) in Six months


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The GeoTeam previously rated APT
Positive +56.62% Alpha Pro Tech's Compelling Break-Out Quarter
08/18/2009
6
Positive -0.41% Bullish on APT ...
08/18/2009
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