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Opinion on  Trimble Navigation Ltd (TRMB)     Sector: Technology  >  Industry: Scientific & Technical Instr.
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of January 23, 2006

Jul 09, 2007 06:06 AM GMT
Robertfreedlandphoto
Return Risk
-5.56% HIGH
Principal

Fundamental Analysis  

As one of the weekend "tasks" of this website, I like to look back on stock picks from the past. Starting about a year out, I have missed enough weekends of review that I am now 1 1/2 years out on reviews. On June 17, 2007, I reviewed stock picks from the week of January 16, 2006 . Moving ahead a week, let's take a look at the picks from the week of January 23, 2006!

As I have frequently pointed out, these reviews assume a 'buy and hold strategy' of investing, where equal dollar amounts of each stock are purchased and held regardless of subsequent price action. In practice, I advocate and employ a very different strategy that sells stocks quickly on small losses and slowly as the stocks appreciate. However, for the ease of this review, this analysis assumes a simpler buy and hold approach to all of these stock picks. The difference in this approach would certainly affect the outcome of the performance.

Enough of the introduction! Let's take a look at the four stocks that were "picked" on the blog during the week of January 23, 2006. Please note that all charts are posted from StockCharts.com .

On January 25, 2006, I picked Trimble Navigation (TRMB) for Stock Picks Bob's Advice when the stock was trading at $41.76. On February 23, 2007, Trimble had a 2:1 stock split making my effective pick price actually $20.88. TRMB closed at $32.50 on July 6, 2007, for a gain of $11.62 or 55.7% since posting.


On May 3, 200, Trimble reported 1st quarter results . Revenue for he quarter increased 27% to $285.7 million from $225.9 million in the first quarter of 2006. Net income came in at $28.7 million, up 11% over net income of $25.8 million in the same quarter in 2006. Earnings per share came in at $.24/diluted share, up from $.22/diluted share during the 1st quarter of 2006.

With this great earnings report, a solid Morningstar.com "5-Yr Restated" financials , and the nice chart,

TRIMBLE NAVIGATION (TRMB) IS RATED A BUY





TRMB:  This call was made on 07/09/07 @ $32.42
Rating:   Positive   $32.42 (07/09/07)
Closed:   04/25/2008 @ $32.85 (+1.33% in 291 days)


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ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 21.10 +34.25% 381
2 18.14 +72.34% 210
3 17.66 +25.65% 55
4 13.47 +14.32% 61
5 12.13 +76.91% 39


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Robert Freedland previously rated TRMB
Positive -30.42% Bullish on TRMB ...
04/25/2008
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