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14 pts

Opinion on  Vonage Holdings Corp (VG)     Sector: Services  >  Industry: Communications Services
Vonage has a broken business. WCS shorted it a long time ago

Aug 02, 2007 11:36 AM UTC
Winter
Return Risk
+7.50% LOW
Analyst

Fundamental Analysis  

Not only does this business have IP issues, it offers little to compete with the free Skype service from ebay....


Update 08/08:

At -60 million dollars per quarter cash use, and approx 400 in cash and marketable securities, there is only 7 quarters of cash left before zero and and only 100 in cash net of LT liabilities, surely this company is soon to be owned by debtholders....


Update 08/30:

This business is running fast at a brick wall, if you look at absolute cash and near cash items per share at the last quarter it's a share price of 1.78.  There's a chunk of liabilities so the net cash value is much lower.  You've really got to believe that some company is going to pay a huge premium for a churning price sensitive customer base and cobbled-together technology to believe a share price of even equal to cash, and then there's the winding up costs......


Update 09/26:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/09/...

 

To add to VG's headaches, they have to find a further $69.5 Million to pay to Sprint for damages and 5% of future revenues in royalties.  That's not going to help profitability.

 

Shares down 33% on the result, but they still should be heading to zero....


VG:  This call was made on 08/02/07 @ $2.0
Rating:   Negative   $2.0 (08/02/07)
Gain/Loss:   +56.50% in 477 days
Target:   $0.50 (-75.00%) in Six months


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Ed Snow previously rated VG
Positive +0.00% Vonage has a broken business. WCS shorted it a long time ago
08/02/2007
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