SocialPicks Monitor new  |    Stock Idea Community
SocialPicks
   Sign Up   |   Log In   |   What is SocialPicks?     
The Stock Idea & Analysis Community
SocialPicks is a community where stock investors exchange ideas and track performance of financial bloggers.
Top_member_photos
Get free stock picks and email alerts daily
 
Are you a stock guru?

7 pts

Opinion on  Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. (BWLD)     Sector: Services  >  Industry: Restaurants
Bullish on BWLD ...

Nov 26, 2007 06:35 PM UTC
Robertfreedlandphoto
Return Risk
-17.58% LOW
Principal

On May 26, 2006, I posted Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when the stock was trading at $39.42. On June 18, 2007, BWLD had a 2:1 stock split, making my effective 'pick price' actually $19.71. BWLD closed at $27.23 on November 23, 2007, for a gain of $7.52 or 38.2% since posting.

On October 30, 2007, Buffalo Wild Wings announced 3rd quarter 2007 results . Total revenue climbed 20.5% to $82.4 million up from $68.3 million. Same store sales increased 8.3% at company owned restaurants and 5.9% at franchised restaurants. Earnings per share for the quarter came in at $.24/share, up from $.20/share the prior year.

Unfortunately, the company missed expectations on earnings which per Thomson Financial had been at $.26/share. However, revenue beat expectations of $81.4 million.

On a positive note, the Morningstar.com "5-Yr Restated" financials page appears intact. The company shows steady revenue growth, earnings growth, and relatively stable outstanding shares since 2004. (up sharply from 5 million to 16 million shares between 2002 and 2004.) Free cash flow is positive and growing and the balance sheet is solid.

BUFFALO WILD WINGS (BWLD) IS RATED A BUY

Let's take a closer look at the 'point & figure' chart on BWLD from StockCharts.com :


We can see in the above chart how the recent correction in the market has been bringing the price of BWLD down. I suspect the latest quarterly report when the company came in a couple of pennies light on estimates of earnings is making a difference in the price movement.

So how did I do with these two stocks? Really not bad. In fact, they both appreciated in price and the average of these two stocks was a gain of 24.5%.

Thanks again for visiting! If you have any comments or questions, please feel free to leave them on the blog or email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com. If you get a chance, be sure and visit my Stock Picks Podcast Website . Also check out my Covestor Page where Covestor has been analyzing my actual trading portfolio. And my SocialPicks page where all of my many picks from the first of the year have been evaluated.

Have a great week trading and stay well!

Bob

 





BWLD:  This call was made on 11/26/07 @ $27.1
Rating:   Positive   $27.1 (11/26/07)
Gain/Loss:   -37.93% in 362 days


+ Referring to this analysis:


Add Comment

Be the first to comment on this story and earn 2 points.

Your Comment

Who voted on this idea?
abe Loren 73% 11/26/2007


Ratings referring to this analysis Agree     Disagree



ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 29.65 +61.65% 160
2 21.24 +48.89% 49
3 19.00 +49.44% 205
4 17.77 +19.60% 4
5 15.63 +16.16% 6


POPULAR STOCKS
Symbol Company Name Sentiment

TODAY'S HEADLINES

TODAY'S TOP PICKS

 
Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. (BWLD)
   SocialPicks Sentiment:   

   This Quarter's Sentiment:
All:
72.5%
Top:
33.0%




Latest Picks by Robert Freedland
Symbol SP Sentiment Rating Return Since
JCI Neutral/Hold -53.39% 09/04/08
GHM Neutral/Hold -89.83% 09/02/08
EL Positive -50.64% 08/23/08
GXDX Neutral/Hold -15.48% 08/22/08
MORN Neutral/Hold -58.80% 08/17/08

View All >
   
Robert Freedland previously rated BWLD
Positive -26.32% Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD)
05/03/2007
6





IN THE PRESS
Press_forbes Press_washingtonpost Press_wsj Press_npr Press_techcrunch