The FinancialContent Network     SocialPicks Community   |   MarketMinute Monitor   |   MarketMinute Market Updates   |   MarketMinute Stock News
SocialPicks
   Sign Up   |   Log In   |   What is SocialPicks?     
Please sign up for SocialPicks site access - it's free!

Sirius Opportunity in Satellite Radio

 May 02, 2008 04:29 PM UTC
Return Risk
-76.48% MID
Tracked Blogger
Symbol Sentiment Start Return Closed
SIRI Positive 05/02/08 -76.48% --
XMSR Positive 05/02/08 n/a --

5/2 - "The long awaited merger of Sirius (SIRI) and XM Satellite Radio (XMSR) is near FCC approval and investors would do well to jump in while the stock is down...The deal was approved by the DOJ with no conditions attached and now awaits approval by the FCC. If BellSouth and AT&T (T) were allowed to merge back together after a painful divestiture, there is no way this deal can be blocked. It is going to happen. That is why both companies are putting off the Q1 stockholders meeting and have no intention of calling the deal off."

"The true synergies of the merger have been underestimated in the stock price but will be well understood by the market after the merger is approved. The greatest benefit will be in the leverage over the programming suppliers of the two companies. Programming costs are their greatest expense, but when they become the only game in town they will have better leverage than those ruthless Wal-Mart (WMT) purchasing agents. This should make the combined company profitable by year-end. After that, the sky is the limit for profits."

"...millions of potential customers have been waiting on the sidelines for the final ink on the deal before signing up and buying a receiver. Once that confusion is over, the subscriber base could rise by up to 40% in 2008 and that revenue will start rolling in. Then, anyone who has been worrying about the financial viability of satellite radio can worry about why they did not jump on the stock when they could have."


 Graphic_website1 Read the rest of original post »

3 Related Views

84%
+8.37%
 risk: moderate
Short Sellers Make a Large Bet Against Sirius
4/25 - "Either short sellers don't think a merger between Sirius (NASDAQ: SIRI) and XM Satellite (NASDAQ: XMSR) will happen, or they don't believe that the deal will save the two debt-laden companies. Short interest in Sirius rose 20.2 million shares for the period ending April 15 compared with March 31. Total shares sold short hit 157.9 million. Shares short in XM also pushed up 6.3 million to...
+ View 1 comment

N/A
+0.00%
 risk: moderate
Sirius' Short Story
4/14 - "With this merger, there are many reasons to short. While shorting equities is something that I personally am not prone to do, I do understand the concept and the market. I simply make a choice not to short very often. Specific to the merger, there is an arbitrage play that potentially has a lot of people shorting Sirius (SIRI). The strategy is to go long XM (XMSR) and short Sirius (this...

N/A
+0.00%
 risk: moderate
Growth Slowing for Sirius and Merger Synergies Could Take Time; Reiterate Hold
4/24 - "...it seems unlikely that the FCC will vote on the merger at its May 14 meeting. A ruling by late May or early June could occur. We believe the FCC is highly likely to approve the merger with relatively modest conditions." "Sirius should report first quarter 2008 results in early May showing 370,000 net new subscriber additions, down from 556,000 a year ago...Sirius could end the...
+ View 2 comments


Comments (1)

Add Comment

Arrow_up
Arrow_down
loneranger   38%     0 point   commented 553 days ago reply

If this merger goes though this is an abvious long but until then I may be wise to short both companies as we have seen neither has been able to prove truly profitable in the face of the others competition


Your Comment



IN THE PRESS
Press_forbes Press_washingtonpost Press_wsj Press_npr Press_techcrunch