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Copa Holdings: Generates Decent Profits Despite Oil Price

 May 11, 2008 10:51 AM UTC
Return Risk
-20.97% MID
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Symbol Sentiment Start Return Closed
CPA Positive 05/11/08 +14.00% 08/15/08

Graphic_arrow1 Via Long Investment Ideas from Seeking Alpha:  

With oil prices going through the roof, it is nice to see an airline generate some decent profits. Copa Holdings (CPA)
is the parent of Panama based Copa Airlines and Columbia based Aero
Republica. Earnings for Q1, 2008 were 91¢ per share compared to $1.12
for the same quarter a year ago (See Transcript). As one could easily guess, higher fuel
prices put a dent in the earnings, with average fuel costs 35% higher
for the quarter. Other revenue numbers showed some nice growth (all of
the numbers are YoY quarter growth):<!---->


  • Total revenue increased 21.9%.
  • Revenue passenger miles increased 13.5%.
  • Yield per passenger mile increased 7.2%.
  • Load factor increased 1.6% to 78%.
  • Operating cost per seat mile increased 20.7% (see fuel cost increase above).
  • Liquidity (available cash & investments) equaled 33% of last 12 months revenues.
  • An annual dividend of 37¢ was declared.

As
a rule, airline stocks scare me, double scare me when fuel prices are
rapidly rising. However, Copa is maintaining decent profitability in
spite of increasing costs. The airline appears to be very well run (I
have flown on Copa Airlines several times). It has a young (less than
4 years average age) fleet and serves the growing Latin America market.


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