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A Less Artful EA

 May 15, 2008 05:39 PM UTC
Return Risk
-33.11% HIGH
Tracked Blogger
Symbol Sentiment Start Return Closed
ERTS Neutral/Hold 05/15/08 -64.61% --
ATVI Positive 05/15/08 -33.11% --

5/14 - "Although the quarter beat analysts' expectations on an adjusted basis, many investors seem to be thinking "game over," especially since EA turned in a rather tepid forecast and gave reason to believe that the pesky "enhancing profitability" portion of EA's picture remains fuzzy at best.

EA also said it will stop offering quarterly forecasts. Although corporations' forecasts can be unreliable, I'm not sure what EA's decision to stop giving them at all -- at a time when many investors are already wondering what the heck its deal is -- says about its chances of getting its act together in the short term."

"Meanwhile, EA continues to covet Take-Two Interactive (Nasdaq: TTWO), which peddles the wildly popular Grand Theft Auto franchise, as well as the highly acclaimed BioShock. Apparently, EA needs -- and I mean needs -- this deal. And as my Foolish colleague Rick Munarriz was careful to warn, it won't get Take-Two unless it sweetens the deal...I've often said I prefer video game industry leaders as investment ideas. For now, though, Activision is the only contender that I consider up to the sector's current challenges."


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Currently Invested in Activision, But EA Merits Consideration
5/14 - "EA was forecast to only break-even on a non-GAAP basis, so the difference was a nice $0.09. In terms of operational cash flow, EA increased the metric by 33% during the fourth quarter, but for the full year, operational cash flow decreased 15%. Ah, such is life, I guess. Nevertheless, EA produced 27 titles that sold over a million units this year -- three more than in the previous year....

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EA's Sales Figures Paint a Rosy Picture for Sony
5/15 - "EA posted some big software sales across the board, but Sony benefitted the most from EA sales. Combined numbers across the PlayStation 2, PlayStation 3, and PlayStation Portable paint a rosy picture for Sony's platforms for both Sony and EA—especially once you take into account the sales trends of Sony's platforms, which saw some pretty substantial increases over last year." "Throug...

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Strong Results/Guidance for EA, Though R&D Spending a Concern; Reiterate Strong Buy
5/14 - "Q4 results were above guidance and consensus estimates...Management guided to dramatic revenue growth and modest EPS growth in FY:09, expecting a surprising 30% increase in R&D spending. The company expects pro forma revenues of $5.0 – 5.3 billion and pro forma EPS of $1.30 – 1.70, compared to consensus estimates of $4.6 billion and $1.74, respectively...We are raising our pro forma rev...


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