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5/16 - "Private-brand apparel retailer Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) continued to struggle mightily during its first quarter. I know this is sounding like a broken record, following the company's dreadful fourth quarter, but when consumers are feeling the pinch, retailers selling discretionary items such as apparel and home furnishings are bound to suffer." "Total sales grew 1.5% on the strength of 123 more stores being open this year than last. But comparable-store sales slipped by 6.7% -- the third (and worst) quarter in a row of negative comps for the company...The company issued guidance in line with analyst expectations. Comps are expected to fall 3%-5% for the year, and earnings are forecasted to slip for the balance of 2008, but at an increasingly slower rate as the year progresses." "At 14 times next year's earnings, Kohl's just isn't a great buy. Nibbling a few shares on dips might be OK, since consumers will eventually start buying apparel again."
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3 Related Views
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risk: moderate |
Macy's Q1 Beats Analysts, But I'm Not Buying In
5/15 - "Retailer Macy's (NYSE: M) first fiscal quarter wasn't that bad, at least in terms of the analyst game...However, does this news excite me? Not necessarily...First, the overall top line declined almost 3%, coming in at $5.7 billion. Second, and perhaps even more telling, same-store sales were weak during the quarter, decreasing by 2.6%...And cash has been decreasing on the balance sheet....
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risk: moderate |
Expect Nordstrom Range-Bound
5/16 - "Nordstrom (JWN) reported first quarter earnings per share of $0.54, which matched our estimate, but was $0.05 ahead of consensus estimates. The upside was due to better-than-expected expense controls and share repurchases. Even so, the company issued guidance that was below its previous outlook."
"While we think JWN is one of the better ways to invest in retail, its stock is likely t...
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risk: moderate |
Global Brand Appeal Driving Abercrombie and Fitch's Growth; Reiterate Buy
5/16 - "We continue to be amazed that casual luxury teen retailer ANF trades at a discount valuation, despite the proven strength of its portfolio of concepts, ability to generate full price selling at premium price points, and consistently stable industry-high operating margins. At 11.4x our FY2009 EPS estimate of $6.66, ANF is trading at a substantial discount to the sector average of ~15.2x ...
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KSS targets a different niche than other retailers in its category. The only real question is whether or not there is enough interest and size in the non mall/strip located clothes retail store. |
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Cool pick. |
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