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Cramer on BloggingStocks: This market's winners |
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| Jun 27, 2008 04:08 PM UTC |
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Via BloggingStocks:
Filed under: General Motors (GM), Market matters, Citigroup Inc. (C), Merrill Lynch (MER), Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), Bargain stocks, Oil, Stocks to Buy, Cramer on BloggingStocks TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says forget calling a financial bottom -- everything you need is right in front of you. Do you think this week will finally end the oil inventory nonsense? Do you think this week could be the breakout where oil doesn't trade on the slight build or the "heavier than expected" chatter? I sure hope so. Yesterday was a horrible market, but midday, when the market was really beginning to roll over, the whole complex turned. This was quite an achievement given the overwhelming collapse of the futures and the propensity of the bears to push things down. Today with the futures breaching $140 -- remember, I think they're on the way to $150 -- we can see the error of relying on these numbers, which I have said for years now are meaningless. Witness how many times the inventories have been more full than expected and yet oil has doubled. I want to go back to the cheaper-than-oil stocks, though. Natural gas. Oil has to go down $65 to get to where natural gas is right now. Meaning that historically oil trades at six times the price of natural gas. So natural gas -- forget the season, which is supposed to be bad for nat gas -- needs to come higher. Much higher. Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: This market's winners Permalink | Email this | Comments<map name="google_ad_map_145-1239165"><area href="http://imageads.googleadservices.com/pagead/imgclick/145-1239165?pos=0" shape="rect" coords="1,2,367,28" /><area href="http://services.google.com/feedback/abg" shape="rect" coords="384,10,453,23" /></map> 
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Oil, gold, and natural gas will go higher, especially NG. And when election year influence subsides and U.S. has an Energy Policy, and when T. Boone Pickens idea of clean coal develops into a utilities (especially electricity) fuel, and NG is used as a medium term transportation fuel for internal combustion engines (along with selected, economically justifiable biofuels), world energy "needs" will come into focus, without total dependence on petroleum. Financial equities and associated ETFs and other funds (including the government-backed financials) will continue to fade. Look at the interbank lending rates: the banks won't even lend to eachother. So, the credit crunch will continue until all the toxic paper they hold (housing, other derivatives "bets" that are losers) is on the books as losses. Jim Cramer seems to be a good financial analyst, but the world of today is not the world when he was a hedge fund manager at GS. And he has proven that his favored biases toward the Investment Banks are not valid positions--and likely never were. |
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