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Eyeing E*Trade Financial in the Fannie and Freddie aftermath

 Sep 11, 2008 08:18 PM UTC
Return Risk
+27.62% LOW
Tracked Blogger
Symbol Sentiment Start Return Closed
ISE n/a
ETFC Negative 09/11/08 +47.96% --

Graphic_arrow1 Via BloggingStocks:  

Filed under: Analyst reports, Bad news, Stocks to Sell, E*TRADE (ETFC)

Online brokerage firm E*Trade Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: ETFC) hasn't escaped the financial-sector pain this week. The shares plunged 4.7% on Wednesday after E*Trade warned that it expects three-year cumulative losses on its home-equity portfolio to exceed the top end of its previously forecast range of $1 billion to $1.5 billion. Additionally, the firm confessed that its total pretax realized loss on its preferred equity holdings in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac amounted to $150 million, net of hedges, for the third quarter.


In response to the news, Fox-Pitt Kelton widened its third-quarter loss estimate for E*Trade. The analysts now expect a per-share loss of 42 cents rather than 27 cents. In comments accompanying the revised outlook, Fox-Pitt noted that ETFC's efforts to patch up its damaged balance sheet haven't been sufficient to eliminate doubts regarding its home-equity line of credit losses.


Yesterday's headlines probably came as an unpleasant surprise to the new crop of ETFC bulls. The International Securities Exchange (ISE) is experiencing a surge in call volume on the stock, which has now racked up a 10-day call/put ratio of 6.51 on the exchange. In other words, traders have purchased about 6.5 calls to open on ETFC for every 1 put during the past couple of weeks.

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