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Via Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis:
A perfect storm of bad farm policy in conjunction with a global slowdown is pressuring dairy farmers. Here is an interesting story about a dairy farm close to where I live: U.S. dairy farms in crisis as milk prices turn sour. Many of the more than 60,000 dairy farms in the United States have been cutting costs, selling off their cows, or leaving the dairy business altogether as milk prices plummet 35 percent in just the past two months while dairy farm operating costs remain uncomfortably high.Kooistra Farms in Woodstock, Illinois is about 20 miles from where I live. Milk Monthly Chart ![]() click on chart for sharper image The above describes our insane farm policy.Farmers ramp up production when prices are high and are paid to kill cows when prices are low. It is time to end this madness. EU to Reactivate Dairy Export Subsidies However, as bad as the US is with farm policy, the Eurozone is worse. Inquiring minds are reading EU to Reactivate Dairy Export Subsidies. Brussels, Jan 15 - The European Union will reactivate export subsidies for a series of dairy products to help struggling exporters compete better on the depressed world market, Europe's farm chief said on Thursday.EU May Hand Out Farm Cash for Dairy, Rural Internet Please consider a third article on the plight of dairy farmers, this from the point of view of small European farmers: EU May Hand Out Farm Cash for Dairy, Rural Internet. Brussels, Jan 20 - Europe's farm chief will propose spending part of the unused EU agriculture budget to help countries finance rural development projects, including support for dairy industries and improved internet access.Farm Hypocrisy In Action 1. The EU pledges to eliminate export subsidies provided other do the same. 2. The US agrees to change its farm policy provided others do the same. 3. Some small agricultural country somewhere refuses to cut subsidies so nothing gets done. 4. Everyone points the finger at everyone else as to being the problem. 5. Trade talks fail every year as they have for the past 15. Dairy Crisis Perfect Storm 1. Bad farm policy in US and EU. 2. Bad farm decisions to ramp up production ahead of global slowdown. 3. Global slowdown reduces demand for cheese and dairy products. 4. US dollar strengthens weakening demand for US exports 5. EU reinstates export subsidies. This should be a trade violation. It also compounds the problem of the strengthening dollar. 6. A drought ends in some export countries, contributing to dairy glut and further pressuring prices. 7. US consumers are eating out far less often because of the recession. This reduces internal demand for dairy products. With a toxic brew of bad farm policy and bad economic policy in conjunction with the worst recession since the great depression, expect to see many farmers go out of business. It's a bad situation. That said, small farm have no more right to handouts than anyone else, which is to say none. However, what farmers do have a right to is fair economic and farm policy and that we certainly have not seen either in the US or EU. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List
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