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Housing: 'Invest at the Point of Maximum Pessimism'

 Jul 28, 2009 10:47 AM UTC
Return Risk
-13.40% HIGH
Tracked Blogger
Symbol Sentiment Start Return Closed
TOL n/a
KBH n/a
SPG n/a

Graphic_arrow1 Via Long Investment Ideas from Seeking Alpha:  

US housing/real estate/construction sector commentary all appears to be from the same record. Just going around and around playing the same tunes again and again. Very few commentators appear to have looked beyond their groove and seen that perhaps we have already seen the bottom of the US housing market.

This is completely understandable from a psychological perspective. Imagine publicly announcing that you are now a market bull over KB Holmes (KBH), Toll Brothers (TOL), or Simon Property Group (SPG).

Remember, when everybody thinks alike, the opposite is most likely to happen.

For now we will put aside the opinions of our betters & take a look at what is happening with the liquid markets on the property scene. Also, we will keep in mind John Templeton's famous quote "invest at the point of maximum pessimissm".


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