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Via Fund my Mutual Fund:
I can't fight this feeling that.... I've totally whiffed when it comes to our holding in Priceline.com (PCLN). Much like Baidu (BIDU) we had a great entry point early last spring, then took profit on a trade... and simple never went back in as we await some sort of pullback. Our twins of missed opportunity. Above is a 6 month chart; as you can see the last earnings report [Aug 10, 2009: Priceline.com - Recession Recsmession! Continued Impressive Results] created a massive gap in the chart... now unlike indexes, gaps in individual stocks can take months, quarters or years to fill; or in some cases they never do. I think Priceline's will during the next real bear run but when that happens is anyone's guess. You might notice 2 interesting things; first Priceline.com - like many stocks - broke down about 2 weeks ago... which (again) should of led to further downside but this is one very different market. Second, what an "interesting" volume explosion last Thursday just 2 sessions ahead of an earnings release. I'll leave it at that, and just remind you to remember you are sitting at the most tilted craps table at Caesars NYC. The stock was up 7% in after hours, and will create a new gap up and new high; momentum bulls will jump over each other for that sort of technical action. On a sidenote, I did not post it in the blog but Priceline.com was recently announced as a new member of the S&P 500. Now for another barn busting earnings report; unlike many companies being bid to the stratosphere for nothing more than chopping countless jobs ... Priceline.com is beating through actual growth; our thesis here (now proven) is as the "Walmart of online travel" you'd see the a similar parallel as we see in retail in their US business. Downward mobility has its good points. Let me remind you, if you are new to the website or name while Priceline is thought to be a US company (which it is) it has a very large business in Europe. Notice how domestic bookings are up at a decent clip year over year (recall a year ago we were in financial fall our shelters)... then compare to international growth.... pretty much a proxy for many things happening in the world. Priceline.com Incorporated (Nasdaq: PCLN - News) www.priceline.com provides online travel services in 29 languages in 78 countries in Europe, North America, Asia, the Middle East and Africa. Included in the priceline.com family of companies is Booking.com, a leading international online hotel reservation service, priceline.com, a leading U.S. online travel service for value-conscious leisure travelers, and Agoda.com, an Asian online hotel reservation service. Priceline.com believes that Booking.com is Europe’s largest and fastest growing hotel reservation service, with a network of affiliated Web sites. Booking.com operates in over 70 countries in 24 languages and offers its customers access to over 73,000 participating hotels worldwide. Full earnings report here - let's look at some analysis. Per Briefing.com the quick hits:
Via Investors Business Daily
[May 14, 2009: Priceline.com in Investors Business Daily] [May 11, 2009: Priceline.com Continues to Execute Well] [Feb 19, 2009: Priceline.com Impresses on Earnings] [Aug 6, 2008: Priceline.com - Down 17% on Good Earnings?] [May 8, 2008: 2 Earnings Reports of Note: AIG (AIG) and Priceline (PCLN)] <center><object height="344" width="425"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/67Fb8XbpWMM&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/67Fb8XbpWMM&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object> </center> Long Priceline.com in fund; no personal position
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