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GM Analysis & Videos »
GM: Bull or Bear?
Gov't help hasn't worked yet
GM
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FNM, FRE, AIG were the first round of gov't help, and those equities have not performed since the gov't "saved" them. Can't see much reason for this to change. Futhermore, helping GM and Chrysler is the exact wrong policy for the US, since it helps a poorly run company steal business from a well run company. Ford isn't asking for government help, so there's reason to believe the US will still have an auto maker after GM and Chrysler fend for their own survival (Maybe Mr. Buffett wants to save GM for a sweetheart deal of 12% and a free option like he's doing in Swiss Re?). Why would we...
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What will move the Dow? A look inside the average
GM
Filed under: General Motors (GM), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Newsletters, Citigroup Inc. (C), American Express (AXP), Bank of America (BAC), Chevron Corp (CVX), DJIA, Stocks to Buy "What can get this market going again?" asks Chuck Carlson. In The DRIP Investor he says, "It's helpful to understand what stocks within the Dow need to do well for the index to do well." <>"Not surprisingly, IBM (NYSE: IBM), the highest-priced stock in the Dow, carries the greatest weighting at more than 9% of the index. Obviously, with such a heavy weighting in the index, IBM will need to be a decent performer for the Dow...
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Chasing Value: Will we be eating out of trash cans?
GM
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Filed under: Rants and raves, General Electric (GE), Market matters, Options, Chasing Value, Stocks to Buy, Recession  There are people in the investing world right now that are so down on the market that they are hedging against an absolute market collapse.
As an example of this view I just sold naked puts in General Electric (NYSE: GE), the only original Dow Jones Industrial Average stock for January 2011 at a strike price of $2.50, and collected $0.52, per share. My break even therefore is $1.98, not counting the interest over what is almost a three-year term. Or looking at it another way, ...
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Seven signs you should short sell a stock
GM
Filed under: Google (GOOG), Apple Inc (AAPL), Dell (DELL), General Electric (GE), Amazon.com (AMZN), General Motors (GM), Hansen Natural (HANS), Short stories, Schlumberger Limited (SLB), Bank of America (BAC), Chevron Corp (CVX), Morgan Stanley (MS), Stocks to Sell  These are not the only signs, just a few examples of when to bet against a company, all of which would have worked out great over the past year:
1. Right when management admits a massive fraud over many years, Satyam Computer Services (SAY)
2. Companies lie about the health of management: Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)
3. Arrogance and g...
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GM - The End Is Near
GM
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Previously, I projected GM to run on rumor of the bailout and its passage. Given the dire state of the current economy, I did not see how the US Congress could not pass the bill. Despite the passage of the bill in the House, Senate Republicans appear unwilling to pass the bill, which will yield a deathblow to the entire industry (not to mention the economy as a whole). GM, at least in its current state, is on its last legs.
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Auto Makers Set to Receive Short-Term Rescue Loans
GM
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<> 
The accompanying table [click to enlarge] presents the ETF Innovators [ETFI] Global Personal Transportation Index, which includes 40 companies with market caps of at least $150M. Since I last updated the index last month, the total market cap of the 40 companies has declined by 22% and currently stands at just under $450B with Volkswagen (VLKAY) accounting for nearly one-fourth of that total thanks to an 85% stock price gain in the past year and market cap of $112B.
Meanwhile, Congressional lead...
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Here comes the cavalry!
GM
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GM will saddle up to the bailout trough again and will get the cash it needs to make it a bit longer. Make no mistake, this is not a vote of confidence in the long term viability of this company. It still faces serious problems that go beyond liquidity. People have gotten t oo bearish though. Recently, a Deutsche Bank analyst put a target price of zero on the stock. That doesn't seem right, given the political/public relations fallout of letting a once venerable American brand die.
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Auto Makers Are Out Of Gas
GM
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<> 
The 30 lowest rated companies in the ETFI Global Auto Makers Index and short ETF proposal lost an astonishing 63.9% in market value over the past year, compared to a loss of 37% each for the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) and the Consumer Discretionary Sector SPDR (XLY). The index includes companies with market caps over $150M U.S. Dollars which are active in the following business segments: auto/truck makers, motor sports/recreation – e.g. Polaris (PII), motorcycles – e.g. Harley Davidson (HOG), and recreational vehicles – e.g. Winnebago (WGO). < />< />< />< />...
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Bullish on GM ...
GM
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I have confidence GM will make necessasry adjustments to ensure the merger with Chrysler goes through by the end of October; ensuing cuts WRT Plants and other hourly wage earners should help the company get back on its feet and in time the fruits of their labor will become apparent. I don't see GM going out of business anytime soon....
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A Short Transport ETF Strategy for the Global Slowdown
GM
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<> 
Given the global economic slowdown, lower commodity prices, and cool-down in former red-hot grow markets such as China; the accompanying table presents statistics and an overview of a global transport short ETF strategy for passenger airlines, auto makers, maritime, and trucking companies.
While I am still bullish on the prospects for railroads as a long investment idea and a hedge to these short transport ETF ideas, they will also suffer to some degree depending on the length and depth of the s...
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In the brokedown lane
GM
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Poor sales + credit crunch+ legacy costs+global slowdown=crash. Their debt is junk. Their umpteenth turnaround plan has stalled. I'm waiting for them to declare bankruptcy before even considering investing a dime in it.
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Congress Working Overtime: $634B Spending Bill and Bailout Plan
GM
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<> An overwhelming 78-12 vote by the Senate sends a massive $634B spending bill to President Bush, who is expected to sign the measure before the government's fiscal year-end comes to a close on Tuesday. The bill contains provisions for $25B in subsidized loans for automakers in addition to removing a ban on offshore drilling on the Atlantic and Pacific coasts. Participating companies from the auto industry would not have to begin repayment of the loans for five years and the proceeds are meant to be used in the d...
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Huge Losses and a souring economy does not bode well for GM
GM
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With GM's debt rated Caa1 by Moody's, or seven steps below investment grade, the future of GM does not look to bright. Furthermore, Moody's rates the debt of GM negative, which means that further declines in debt rating are probable. GM is already paying a heatlh amount for their debt and especially for any new debt that they issue into the bond market. For these reasons, I am bullish on this stock and hope that they can pull through the current credit market and financial crisis griping the US and Global economy.
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Austin
(+4.74% risk: conservative)
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GM Long Term Charts
- Trendlines and support/resistance lines on long term charts of GM (since 1968) for a better perspective:
http://patternspy.blogspot.com/2009/03/gm-g
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More Resources
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About General Motors Corp
- Answers.com
Looking over the recent history of America's automakers, one theme seems to stand out. Regardless of their situation, the economy, or the issue at hand, the Big Three have an almost preternatural ability to determine the most foolish course of action and pursue it with amazing vigor. 
