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This Quarter's Sentiment:
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From the Blogosphere
Bookkeeping: Short Caterpillar (CAT), PPG Industries (PPG)
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The 'early cycle' plays are simply on fire - no matter the valuation. Caterpillar (CAT), PPG Industries (PPG), Eaton (ETN) - all those names last week who beat on nothing but tax changes, headcount cuts, benefit reductions, etc etc. Not that it matters - valuation is a worry for the past in a momo dominant program trading era. The latest to surge on "recovery" is Masco (MAS) today.
CAT is now trading at 30x forward estimates for 2009. That said, I am going to begin a half size short position on Caterpillar and half size on PPG Industries. Only 2% exposure here at $42.90 for CAT. I wil...
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The Meek Continue to Dominate Equities
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Early in April after a month long run off the bottom I posted a list of equities that gained at least 60% in the preceding 4 weeks [Apr 5: The Meek Shall Inherit the Earth: 92 Stocks Over $10 Returning 60%+] The list was a whose who of beaten down merchandise. Generally, by week 4-5 of an oversold rally these type of names begin to peter out but the ramp has been relentless in lower quality, low price stocks. My gut tells me quant (and other varieties) of hedge funds have been shorting these names, using fundamental reasons - expecting some pullback after huge runs - only to be run over ...
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Earnings of Note Monday-Tuesday
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Some names I am looking at early this week
Monday
Fund holdings - Baidu.com (BIDU) and First National Financial (FNF). The former broke through the 200 day moving average Thursday but I cut it down to 1 share on super froth. The latter has been stagnat the past 8 days, with each day an intraday low hitting the 50 day moving average. Very strange. I cut back a bit to a 2.5% stake since I have double jeopardy in these guys with FNF and FAF. I expect good things but the stock action has been weak"ish" and this is the more expensive of the two - not that it matters because nowadays all secto...
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Which Stocks Are the New Dividend Aristocrats?
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<>In these times of low interest rates, dividends are more important than ever. However, searching out good companies paying reliable dividends with higher yields is like walking in a minefield. In just the first quarter of 2009, 41 of the S&P 500 companies cut dividends, allowing them to conserve $41 billion. Last year, the worst in many years, there were 61 dividend cuts by S&P 500 companies, saving them almost $41 billion. Obviously banks have been in the forefront of companies cutting dividends. Meanwhile interest rates on short term funds (money market funds, Treasury bills, etc.) a...
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Earnings highlights: Coke, Pepsi, Hasbro, Marriott, Abercrombie, Wells Fargo and others
Filed under: Earnings reports, Coca-Cola (KO), PepsiCo (PEP), Diageo plc (DEO), Boeing Co (BA), Abercrombie and Fitch (ANF), Barrick Gold (ABX), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Activision Inc (ATVI), Marriott Intl'A' (MAR), Wells Fargo (WFC), Nissan Motors (NSANY) Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks: <> Abercrombie & Fitch Inc. (NYSE: ANF) beat Q4 earnings estimates handily, sending shares higher. Activision Blizzard Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVI) did well in the holiday period but offered weak guidance. <>Barclays (NYSE: BCS) one-time gains offset write-downs ...
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About Masco Corp.
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