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 Alan Brochstein     Graphic_subscribe   

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Alan Brochstein's Blog Posts


Graphic_rating_buy SCVL   Shoe Carnival Has More Kick In It 08/25/08   —  I wrote about my initial purchase in Shoe Carnival (SCVL) (16.40, $207mm market cap) nine months ago, warning that it could drop into year-end, which it did.  Since then, though, the stock has rallied sharply (+18%), easily besting the market (by about 35%): ...
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Graphic_rating_buy RAVN   TRMB   Raven Industries Should Fly Again 08/22/08   —  I recently added Raven Industries (RAVN) (41.29, $745mm market cap) to the Conservative Growth/Balanced Model Portfolio and then to a charitable foundation that I manage.  Most likely, you aren't at all familiar with this South Dakota-based company.  Neither was I until it came across a screen ...
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Graphic_rating_buy BJRI   Feasting on BJ's Restaurants Stock 08/22/08   —  As I recently shared, I have done a 180o turn on restaurants.  When I wrote earlier this month, I mentioned BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) (12.16, $320mm) as one that I wanted to explore a bit more closely.  Well, I paid the price for researching it, as it jumped 20% over the following week.  I ...
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Graphic_rating_buy MIDD   Middleby Is Frying the Shorts 08/08/08   —  It was almost a year ago that I first wrote about Middleby (MIDD), when I described the company as "one of the most exciting companies that no one has ever heard of."  As of the close Thursday, the stock has declined about 20% from 62+ to about 50. Over the same time-frame, the Russell 2000 fel...
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Graphic_rating_buy XLG   Supersize It: XLG - An Easy Megacap Investment 08/02/08   —  For the past 6 years, I have been dining monthly at the same time and place with some fellow investment professionals.  My friends got a real kick out of my thoughts earlier this week, finding it strange how excited I sounded by companies that even my parents know well. Yes, I find Large-Caps to b...
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CVX   Graphic_rating_buy CSCO   Completing the Conservative Growth Portfolio 07/31/08   —  This is the last in a series of articles regarding my recently introduced “Conservative Growth/Balanced Model Portfolio”.    Last week, I shared the background and overall asset allocation.  You can refer back to the article or visit my website to learn more.  As I stated in t...
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BBBY   ITW   Building Conservative Growth Portfolio, Continued 07/29/08   —  Last week, I shared the background and overall asset allocation for my recently introduced “Conservative Growth/Balanced Model Portfolio”.  You can refer back to the article or visit my website to learn more.  As I stated in the previous article, the equity component of the portfoli...
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BBBY   ITW   Building a Conservative Growth Portfolio, Continued 07/29/08   —  Last week, I shared the background and overall asset allocation for my recently introduced “Conservative Growth/Balanced Model Portfolio”.  You can refer back to the article or visit my website to learn more.  As I stated in the previous article, the equity component of the portfoli...
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ITW   CVX   Three Conservative Growth Industrial Picks: Adminstaff, Carlisle Companies and Illinois Tool Works 07/24/08   —  Earlier this week, I shared the background and overall asset allocation for my recently introduced “Conservative Growth/Balanced Model Portfolio.”  You can refer back to the article or visit my website to learn more.  As I stated in the previous article, the equity component of the ...
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Graphic_rating_buy CVX   SPY   Chevron: Good Choice for Conservative Growth Investor 07/23/08   —  Earlier this week, I shared the background and overall asset allocation for my recently introduced “Conservative Growth/Balanced Model Portfolio”.  You can refer back to the article or visit my website to learn more.  As I stated in the previous article, the equity component of the ...
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Graphic_rating_sell APH   5 Reasons Amphenol Will Have Trouble Exceeding Expectations 07/07/08   —  In early January, I wrote a negative article on Amphenol (APH) (44.96, $7.9 billion market cap, S&P 500 member). In a case of a Bear Market making every short look genius, the stock promptly sold off, almost hitting my year-end target of 35 just a few days later. At the lows in March, as you can ...
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Graphic_rating_buy XLF   HBI   Thursday Was a Huge Day for This Market 06/06/08   —  I expressed concern recently when Investors Business Daily declared that the market was in correction. I respectfully disagreed. I suggested to one of my clients that it must have been interesting to be sitting at that table and coming to that conclusion, as it was highly debatable. In the end, the...
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Graphic_rating_buy DIA   Graphic_rating_buy SPY   Consumer Confidence Plunges - A Buy Signal 05/28/08   —  Falling consumer confidence tends to lead to a falling stock market, but once it is "low", it tends to signal a buy opportunity. Take a look at the 30 year history of the Consumer Confidence Index. You will see that yesterday's print of 57.2 is the lowest level since the early 90s and represents a ...
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FRE   FNM   Fannie May Just Be Worth the Risk 04/21/08   —  Fannie Mae (FNM) (28.55, $27.8 billion) is a tough company to understand in my opinion. Having been a professional mortgage trader and portfolio manager in a different life, I have followed the company and its sister (or is it brother?) Freddie Mac (FRE) for 22 years.<!--more--> I have viewe...
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FRE   FNM   Fannie Mae May Appreciate Strongly From Here 04/21/08   —  Fannie Mae (FNM) (28.55, $27.8 billion) is a tough company to understand in my opinion. Having been a professional mortgage trader and portfolio manager in a different life, I have followed the company and its sister (or is it brother?) Freddie Mac (FRE) for 22 years.<!--more--> I have viewe...
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