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 Mike Havrilla     www.BioRunUp.com     Graphic_subscribe   

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    Community Rank: Principal (7000 pts)  |  Member since 07/15/2008
Mikerun
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January 26

Claymore's Airline ETF (FAA) Takes Flight
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   01/26/09  

This pick is about: FAA (FAA)
Rating:   Positive   $0.0 (01/26/09)
Closed:   04/14/2010 @ $37.39 (n/a in 443 days)
1 pt


Claymore's Airline ETF (FAA) Takes Flight

Claymore announced today that it has launched the first exchange-traded product for the global passenger airline industry in the form of an ETF with ticker 'FAA' , which is summarized below by the President of Claymore Securities, Christian Magoon, below:

“Passenger airlines make up the vital networks by which the world connects itself, and we are happy to be the first ETF provider to offer investors access to a portfolio of some of the most actively traded global passenger airline stocks,” . . . “FAA is an industry first and yet another example of the innovation and insight Claymore strives to deliver to the marketplace.”

The ETF will seek to replicate the NYSE Arca Global Airline Index (AXGAL), which is an index that tracks the performance of selected securities of passenger airlines from around the world. At each rebalance, the index will contain about 70% U.S. passenger airline companies, with the remaining weight allocated to international passenger airlines.

The companies included in the Index must derive at least 50% of their revenue from passenger airline operations. Additionally, constituents must have a market capitalization of at least $100M and a 100-day average daily trading volume of at least $1M. As of December 31, 2008, the top five index constituents were AMR Corp (AMR), Continental Airlines Inc (CAL), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), JetBlue Airways Corp (JBLU) and Delta Airlines Inc (DAL).

While passenger airlines face obvious headwinds associated with the global economic slowdown, positive trends include sharply lower jet fuel costs and reduced capacity through M&A + grounded planes. Since the airline stocks offer tremendous volatility, FAA should be extremely popular with traders by providing a cost-efficient vehicle to trade the entire industry rather than taking on the added risk of investing in the individual companies.


March 28

Near-Term Extreme FDA, Clinical Trial Trades: $DCTH, $CTIC, $ANX
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   03/28/10  

This pick is about: Delcath Systems Inc (DCTH)
Rating:   Positive   $7.26 (03/28/10)
Closed:   04/13/2010 @ $9.45 (+30.17% in 16 days)
9 pts


The Regulatory Catalyst Index Update report is currently tracking 313 total entries that include select pending binary event data (FDA decisions, clinical trials) with 206 companies tracked, 155 companies under $10 per share, and 117 companies under $5 per share. Below is a sample of some companies with stock prices under $10, market caps below $500 million, and expected FDA and/or clinical trial catalysts within the next two months.

<font> <font> 1.) Delcath Systems (NASDAQ:DCTH) ($7.26) (market cap = $264 million) </font> </font>

<font> Delcath Percutaneous Hepatic Perfusion (PHP) System </font>

<font> Pivotal Phase 3 Clinical Trial, FDA New Filing (Rolling NDA Submission) </font>

<font> DCTH expects to report pivotal study results in April for the regional delivery of high-dose melphalan via the Delcath PHP System to the liver for metastatic melanoma patients with un-removable tumors. Based on these results, DCTH expects a pending FDA new filing based on Fast Track status and a rolling submission to expedite the NDA process and expects to file for a CE Mark (Europe) as a Class III Medical Device by year-end. </font>

<font> <font> 2.) Cell Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CTIC) ($0.64) ($394 million) </font> </font>

<font> Pending FDA Decision for Pixuvri (pixantrone) Injection </font>

<font> The PDUFA action goal date is 4/23/10, seeking approval to treat relapsed or refractory, aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL). The NerPharMa manufacturing facility was approved by FDA 3/8/10, but the ODAC FDA Advisory Panel voted unanimously on 3/22/10 that trial data was not adequate to support approval of pixantrone. The risk / reward trade on CTIC has changed drastically </font> <font> since I wrote about the Company as a high-risk, speculative trade </font> <font> on a comeback from the brink while trading at 8 cents in February 2009. </font>

<font> Shares of CTIC have been on a wild ride since that time, trading as high as the $2 per share mark for an astounding 25X return in the interim and highlights the importance of taking profits when you have them in the hyper-volatile, small/micro-cap bio-medical space - especially if this opportunity presents itself ahead of the expected binary event. Also, the experience with CTIC highlights the fact that momentum trading in stocks with major pending FDA decisions and/or clinical trial results takes on a life of its own as the big date approaches that is often separated from the underlying science, potential market opportunity, and other rationale attempts to place a fair value on such stocks. </font>

<font> <font> 3.) ADVENTRX Pharma (AMEX:ANX) ($0.226) ($35 million) </font> </font>

<font> ANX-530 (vinorelbine injectable emulsion)  </font>

<font> ANX received a Refusal to file (RTF) letter on 3/1/10 from FDA, which cited one chemistry, manufacturing and controls (CMC) issue related to product stability / expiration dating period. ANX plans to meet with FDA to discuss the NDA resubmission during the last week of April. </font>

<font> www.mikehavRx.com </font> <font> is your prescription for stock index investing updates focused on the healthcare sector, medical innovation, and pending binary events such as FDA decisions and clinical trials, which are tracked in the actively managed HavRx Regulatory Catalyst Index. </font>

<font> Disclosure: Long DCTH </font>



January 21

Calendar of 163 FDA Decisions and Clinical Trials
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   01/21/09  

This pick is about: ChemGenex Pharmaceuticals Ltd Sponsored ADR (CXSP)
Rating:   Positive   $11.25 (01/21/09)
Closed:   04/13/2010 @ $0.0 ( n/a) in 447 days)
9 pts


The tables at my web link below include an updated calendar of 80 expected FDA new product decisions and 83 pending clinical trial result estimates + pending FDA re-submissions. Click here for a link to my previous FDA calendars and the below is a summary of new entries and updates on the calendars.
 
 
1.) Genentech (DNA) expects to report results in mid-April in its Avastin colon cancer adjuvant trial, in addition to pending FDA decisions to expand product labels for Avastin in relapsed brain cancer (gliobalstoma) by 5/5/09, Avastin in combination with interferon alfa-2a for the treatment of metastatic renal cell (kidney) carcinoma by 8/1/09, and Xolair (omalizumab) to extend its use in asthma therapy to kids age 6 and older by the end of October.
 
2.) Takeda Pharma (TKPHY) announced that the FDA would miss the 1/18/09 PDUFA date for its Febuxostat NDA in the treatment of hyperuricemia (once-daily oral treatment of high uric acid levels in gout patients). The FDA is simply behind schedule on pending inspection of clinical trial sites and Febuxostat previously was recommended for approval by an advisory panel.
 
3.) Dendreon (DNDN) moved up the timeline from mid-year to April for the release of Provenge clinical trial results for prostate cancer as part of its rolling BLA submission.
 
4.) Genzyme (GENZ) should hear back from the FDA on its sNDA to expand the label for Clolar (clofarabine) in the treatment of adult acute myeloid leukemia - AML). The 1/24/09 date is for the agency to accept the filing and decide if a six-month, priority review will be granted.
 
5.) ChemGenex Pharma (CXSP) received Orphan Drug status for Omacetaxine in the treatment of Myelodysplastic Syndromes and expected to complete its rolling NDA submission by mid-year.


March 27

Single Digit FDA, Clinical Trial Stocks: $GNVC, $ACUR, $CADX, $CYTX
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   03/27/10  

This pick is about: Cytori Therapeutics Inc (CYTX)
Rating:   Positive   $4.59 (03/27/10)
Closed:   04/11/2010 @ $4.66 (+1.53% in 15 days)
9 pts


The HavRx Regulatory Catalyst Index Update report is currently tracking 313 total entries that include select pending binary event data (FDA decisions, clinical trials) with 206 companies tracked, 155 companies under $10 per share, and 117 companies under $5 per share.

<font> <font> 1.) GenVec (NASDAQ:GNVC) ($2.90) (market cap = $362 million) </font> </font>

<font> TNFerade (DNA carrier, adenovector with gene for TNF-alpha) </font>

<font> Phase 3 Pancreatic Cancer Clinical Trial (PACT) </font>

<font> GNVC announced on 1/15/10 the 184th death in PACT study and guided for 10-12 weeks at the time for interim data to be reported while the final data analysis will occur after 276 deaths are reached. More recently, GNVC reported earnings and provided guidance for expected interim results in March or April 2010. </font>

<font> <font> 2.) Acura Pharma (NASDAQ:ACUR) ($5.16) (market cap = $226 million) </font> </font>

<font> Acurox (oxycodone and niacin) Tablets </font>

<font> FDA Advisory Panel Meeting, 505(b)(2) NDA Resubmission </font>

<font> Acurox is partnered with King Pharma (NYSE:KG) and both companies reported results to support the abuse-deterrant potential of this pain drug candidate on 3/8/10. A Complete Response Letter (CRL) was received from FDA in June 2009 and a joint meeting of the Anesthetic / Life Support Drugs and Drug Safety / Risk Management Advisory Committees of the FDA is scheduled for 4/22/10. </font>

<font> <font> 3.) Cadence Pharma (NASDAQ:CADX) ($9.26) (market cap = $468 million) </font> </font>

<font> Ofirmev (intravenous or IV formulation of acetaminophen) </font>

<font> The FDA issued a CRL on 2/11/10 that noted third-party manufacturer deficiencies (with a submitted response to FDA on 2/18/10) and indicated that no additional clinical studies are required required. CADX is seeking approval of Ofirmev for the treatment of pain and the reduction of fever in adults and children and expects to resubmit the NDA once all inspection-related issues are resolved. </font>

<font> <font> 4.) Cytori Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CYTX) ($4.59) (market cap = $196 million) - Celution System </font> </font>

<font> CYTX is scheduled to report full six-month results from the APOLLO trial (heart attack) and preliminary six-month results from the PRECISE trial (chronic ischemia on 5/7/10 at the Stem Cell Therapy and Cardiovascular Innovation conference in Madrid, Spain. These safety and feasibility studies will evaluate the potential of autologous (patient-derived) adipose (fat tissue) derived stem and regenerative cells in the acute and chronic cardiac disease settings based on output from the Company's Celution System. </font>

<font> www.mikehavRx.com </font> <font> is your prescription for stock index investing updates focused on the healthcare sector, medical innovation, and pending binary events such as FDA decisions and clinical trials, which are tracked in the actively managed HavRx Regulatory Catalyst Index. </font>

<font> Disclosure: Long CYTX </font>



June 26

Investars YOU: New Site for Index Tracking and Investing
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   06/26/09  

This pick is about: Biotech HOLDRs Trust Biotech HOLDRs Trust (BBH)
Rating:   Positive   $94.21 (06/26/09)
Closed:   04/09/2010 @ $104.26 (+10.67% in 287 days)
9 pts


Below are 20 new stock indexes I have created, revised, and tracked over the past few years which are now featured at a new website called Investars YOU. The new site includes automated index tracking and allows investors to create custom stock portfolios based on their individual preferences.

<o:p>   </o:p>

http://biomedreports.com/articles/most-popular/1630-investars...

<o:p>   </o:p>

Cosmetic & Restorative Medicine Index

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Cosmetic and Restorative Medicine Index passively tracks the performance of companies that derive over 50% of revenue from any of the following activities: (1) prescription skin care therapeutics; (2) medical devices, products, services, OR equipment for procedures which are intended to enhance appearance; (3) medical devices, products, services, OR equipment for use as joint replacements, tissue repair agents, tissue reconstruction agents, surgical adhesives, and cardiovascular procedures; and (4) regenerative medicine products, services, and/or an active clinical pipeline which seeks to restore or repair the functionality of lost or damaged organ, tissue, cellular, and genetic material. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

BioMedReports.com Select Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The BioMedReports.com Select Index is an actively managed model portfolio of 30-40 stocks that will maintain at least a 90% sector weighting in healthcare with a focus on emerging small and micro-cap bio-pharmaceutical companies with market caps below $1 billion. Mid and large-cap stocks with market caps over $1 billion will typically account for about one-third to one-half of the index components. The selections will be made based on my research, experience, and activities as Managing editor of the website to identify companies which appear as either undervalued or those which are likely to benefit from upcoming binary event catalysts in the form of FDA decisions or key clinical trial results.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Cancer Dx/Tx Micro-Cap Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The passively managed Cancer Diagnostic & Therapeutic (Dx/Tx) Micro-Cap Index constituents reflect a cross-section of emerging cancer companies with market caps below $250 million at the inception date of 4/12/09, including (1) diagnostics (molecular diagnostics and device-based diagnostics), (2) lab services (personalized medicine applications to guide and track the effectiveness of cancer treatments), (3) drug discovery (screening and modifying compounds to achieve anti-cancer effects during the early stages of preclinical and Phase 1 clinical studies), (4) immunotherapy (a.k.a. cancer vaccines which are designed to stimulate the immune system to eradicate cancer), and (5) commercial or late-stage (Phase 2-3) clinical development. Components will only be removed from the index due to mergers, bankruptcies, or other corporate events that result in de-listing of the Company`s stock.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Emerging Diagnostics Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Emerging Diagnostics Index is passively managed and tracks the performance of companies with market caps below $250 million at the time of inclusion. The index includes diabetes monitoring device makers, laboratory services, clinical diagnostics, diagnostic imaging, diagnostic equipment makers, and molecular diagnostics. The index will only be updated to remove components which are no longer trading due to mergers, bankruptcies, or other corporate events that result in de-listing of the Company’s stock.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Airline Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Airline Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps over $200 million at the inception date of 7/16/08 which derive over 50% of revenue from passenger airline services. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Carbon Trading Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The passively managed Global Carbon Trading Index tracks the performance of companies which generate carbon credits through their business operations and/or are involved with the trading of carbon credits. Examples of these activities include the following: waste-to-energy, landfill or methane gas collection, financial exchanges for carbon credits, carbon credit investment firms, and renewable energy projects that result in the generation of carbon credits (e.g. hydro-power, farming, industrial). The index will only be updated to remove components which are no longer trading due to mergers, bankruptcies, or other corporate events that result in de-listing of the Company`s stock.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Generic Drug Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Generic Drug Index passively tracks the performance of companies which meet any of the following three requirements: (1) Derive either $500 million (USD) OR more than 50% of trailing 12-month revenues from the manufacture and sale of any type of generic (off-patent) prescription or over-the-counter (OTC) drug product intended for use by humans, including contract manufacturing services for drug products and biological agents; (2) Have one or more compound(s) in active clinical development OR have a pending ANDA with the FDA for a generic drug candidate; (3) As an alternative to the revenue requirement, companies may also qualify by receiving FDA approval for an abbreviated new drug application (ANDA) within the past 12 months. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Health IT Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Health Information Technology (Health IT) Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps below $10 billion that derive over either $50 million or 50% of their trailing 12-month revenue from products and services for the following activities: (1) electronic transmission, storage, and processing of prescriptions; (2) secure e-mail transmission for healthcare facilities; (3) electronic transmission, storage, and processing of medical imaging and diagnostic information; (4) electronic storage and systems for administrative functions of healthcare facilities and medical records; (5) electronic transmission, storage, and systems for healthcare market data and clinical trial data; (6) electronic systems, devices, and services for remote, real-time monitoring of patient health parameters; (7) medical transcription services, products, and systems for conversion into electronic medical records.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Metal Mining Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Metal Mining Index passively tracks the top-rated companies with market caps over $1 billion at the inception date of 7/22/08 that derive over 50% of revenue from the exploration, mining, extraction, processing, and sale of all types of precious metals, minerals, and industrial metals. The top rated companies are chosen based on their trailing 12-month stock price performance, market cap weighting, and net income weighting. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Railroad Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Railroad Index passively tracks the performance of companies that derive either more than 50% OR $100 million of trailing 12-month revenue from any of the following activities: (1) passenger or freight rail transport services; (2) railcar and locomotive leasing; (3) railcar and locomotive fleet management; (4) rail infrastructure, railcar, locomotive, and railcar/locomotive component parts manufacturing; (5) railcar, locomotive, and component parts repair or refurbishment. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Stem Cell Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Stem Cell Index is passively managed to track the performance of regenerative medicine companies (with stock prices of at least 15 cents at the time of inclusion) which derive over 50% of revenue or have compound(s) in active pre-clinical or clinical development which are designed to restore, replace, repair, or enhance the functionality or appearance of tissue and organ systems, including all types of embryonic and adult stem cell therapeutics. In addition, all types of products and services for stem cell banking are included in this index. The index will only be updated to remove components which are no longer trading due to mergers, bankruptcies, or other corporate events that result in de-listing of the Company’s stock.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Telecom Services Dividend Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Telecom Services Dividend Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps over $1 billion at the time of inclusion that meet the following requirements: (1) All such companies must derive at least 50% of their trailing 12-month revenue from any types of voice and data telecom services such as fixed line communications, wireless communications, and internet access provider services and (2) All such companies must have a trailing 12-month dividend yield of at least 1.5%. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Tobacco Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Tobacco Index tracks the performance of companies which derive over 50% of their revenue from the distribution or manufacturing of any type of tobacco product (e.g. cigarettes, cigars, chewing tobacco) or any related tobacco supplies (e.g. wrapping papers, tobacco leafs, filters). The index is passively managed with updates only as needed to reflect mergers, bankruptcies, and other corporate events which affect the component stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Trucking & Logistics Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Trucking & Logistics Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps over $100 million at the time of inclusion that derive at least 50% of trailing 12-month revenue from any of the following activities: logistics and management support services for all types of transportation companies; all types of land-based, roadway freight forwarding freight transportation services; mail package delivery, transportation, and logistics services; and logistics management support services for roadway transportation companies. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Health Benefit Providers Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Health Benefit Providers Index is passively managed to track the performance of retail pharmacies, pharmacy benefit managers, managed care companies, health insurers, hospital pharmacy operators, workers compensation insurers, and specialty health benefit providers. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in the de-listing of the Company`s stock.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Highly Defensive Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Highly Defensive Index passively tracks the performance of 35 companies based in the Americas, Canada, and Europe with the largest market caps from the following industry groups: (A) Mass Merchant Discount Retailer (1); (B) Consumer Staples (11); (C) Telecom Services (3); (D) At-Home Services (2): Cable TV/Internet Provider (1), Internet Portal/Search Provider (1); (E) Electric Utilities – Domestic (U.S. based) (2); (F) Fast Food Restaurants (1); (G) Commodities (2): Gold Mining (1) Agri-Biotech (Seeds & Fertilizers) (1); (H) Healthcare (11); (I) Aerospace (Non-Commercial) & Defense (1); (J) Energy (1). Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Nation Cap Leaders Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Nation Cap Leaders Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps over $5 billion at the inception date of 8/11/08 which represent the market cap leaders from each nation, spanning developed, emerging, and frontier markets. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

NordiCaps Region Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The NordiCaps Region Index passively tracks the top-rated companies with market caps over $1 billion at the inception date of 7/21/08 that are based in the Nordic Region countries of Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, and Norway. The top rated companies are chosen based on their trailing 12-month stock price performance, market cap weighting, and revenue weighting. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Preventive Medicine Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Preventive Medicine Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps over $100 million at the time of inclusion that derive over either 50% or $100 million in trailing 12-month revenue from any of the following activities: (1) human vaccines which are already on the market or in active clinical development; (2) diagnostics and lab services; (3) diabetes care; and (4) vitamins, health supplements, functional foods, and weight loss products or services. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Regulatory Catalyst Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Regulatory Catalyst Index tracks the performance of healthcare companies with pending new drug, biological agent, or medical device product decisions at the FDA. The index is actively managed and derived from the BioMedReports.com FDA Calendar database.



Investars YOU: New Site for Index Tracking and Investing
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   06/26/09  

This pick is about: SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI)
Rating:   Positive   $50.54 (06/26/09)
Closed:   04/09/2010 @ $60.99 (+20.68% in 287 days)
9 pts


Below are 20 new stock indexes I have created, revised, and tracked over the past few years which are now featured at a new website called Investars YOU. The new site includes automated index tracking and allows investors to create custom stock portfolios based on their individual preferences.

<o:p>   </o:p>

http://biomedreports.com/articles/most-popular/1630-investars...

<o:p>   </o:p>

Cosmetic & Restorative Medicine Index

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Cosmetic and Restorative Medicine Index passively tracks the performance of companies that derive over 50% of revenue from any of the following activities: (1) prescription skin care therapeutics; (2) medical devices, products, services, OR equipment for procedures which are intended to enhance appearance; (3) medical devices, products, services, OR equipment for use as joint replacements, tissue repair agents, tissue reconstruction agents, surgical adhesives, and cardiovascular procedures; and (4) regenerative medicine products, services, and/or an active clinical pipeline which seeks to restore or repair the functionality of lost or damaged organ, tissue, cellular, and genetic material. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

BioMedReports.com Select Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The BioMedReports.com Select Index is an actively managed model portfolio of 30-40 stocks that will maintain at least a 90% sector weighting in healthcare with a focus on emerging small and micro-cap bio-pharmaceutical companies with market caps below $1 billion. Mid and large-cap stocks with market caps over $1 billion will typically account for about one-third to one-half of the index components. The selections will be made based on my research, experience, and activities as Managing editor of the website to identify companies which appear as either undervalued or those which are likely to benefit from upcoming binary event catalysts in the form of FDA decisions or key clinical trial results.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Cancer Dx/Tx Micro-Cap Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The passively managed Cancer Diagnostic & Therapeutic (Dx/Tx) Micro-Cap Index constituents reflect a cross-section of emerging cancer companies with market caps below $250 million at the inception date of 4/12/09, including (1) diagnostics (molecular diagnostics and device-based diagnostics), (2) lab services (personalized medicine applications to guide and track the effectiveness of cancer treatments), (3) drug discovery (screening and modifying compounds to achieve anti-cancer effects during the early stages of preclinical and Phase 1 clinical studies), (4) immunotherapy (a.k.a. cancer vaccines which are designed to stimulate the immune system to eradicate cancer), and (5) commercial or late-stage (Phase 2-3) clinical development. Components will only be removed from the index due to mergers, bankruptcies, or other corporate events that result in de-listing of the Company`s stock.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Emerging Diagnostics Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Emerging Diagnostics Index is passively managed and tracks the performance of companies with market caps below $250 million at the time of inclusion. The index includes diabetes monitoring device makers, laboratory services, clinical diagnostics, diagnostic imaging, diagnostic equipment makers, and molecular diagnostics. The index will only be updated to remove components which are no longer trading due to mergers, bankruptcies, or other corporate events that result in de-listing of the Company’s stock.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Airline Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Airline Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps over $200 million at the inception date of 7/16/08 which derive over 50% of revenue from passenger airline services. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Carbon Trading Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The passively managed Global Carbon Trading Index tracks the performance of companies which generate carbon credits through their business operations and/or are involved with the trading of carbon credits. Examples of these activities include the following: waste-to-energy, landfill or methane gas collection, financial exchanges for carbon credits, carbon credit investment firms, and renewable energy projects that result in the generation of carbon credits (e.g. hydro-power, farming, industrial). The index will only be updated to remove components which are no longer trading due to mergers, bankruptcies, or other corporate events that result in de-listing of the Company`s stock.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Generic Drug Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Generic Drug Index passively tracks the performance of companies which meet any of the following three requirements: (1) Derive either $500 million (USD) OR more than 50% of trailing 12-month revenues from the manufacture and sale of any type of generic (off-patent) prescription or over-the-counter (OTC) drug product intended for use by humans, including contract manufacturing services for drug products and biological agents; (2) Have one or more compound(s) in active clinical development OR have a pending ANDA with the FDA for a generic drug candidate; (3) As an alternative to the revenue requirement, companies may also qualify by receiving FDA approval for an abbreviated new drug application (ANDA) within the past 12 months. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Health IT Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Health Information Technology (Health IT) Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps below $10 billion that derive over either $50 million or 50% of their trailing 12-month revenue from products and services for the following activities: (1) electronic transmission, storage, and processing of prescriptions; (2) secure e-mail transmission for healthcare facilities; (3) electronic transmission, storage, and processing of medical imaging and diagnostic information; (4) electronic storage and systems for administrative functions of healthcare facilities and medical records; (5) electronic transmission, storage, and systems for healthcare market data and clinical trial data; (6) electronic systems, devices, and services for remote, real-time monitoring of patient health parameters; (7) medical transcription services, products, and systems for conversion into electronic medical records.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Metal Mining Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Metal Mining Index passively tracks the top-rated companies with market caps over $1 billion at the inception date of 7/22/08 that derive over 50% of revenue from the exploration, mining, extraction, processing, and sale of all types of precious metals, minerals, and industrial metals. The top rated companies are chosen based on their trailing 12-month stock price performance, market cap weighting, and net income weighting. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Railroad Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Railroad Index passively tracks the performance of companies that derive either more than 50% OR $100 million of trailing 12-month revenue from any of the following activities: (1) passenger or freight rail transport services; (2) railcar and locomotive leasing; (3) railcar and locomotive fleet management; (4) rail infrastructure, railcar, locomotive, and railcar/locomotive component parts manufacturing; (5) railcar, locomotive, and component parts repair or refurbishment. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Stem Cell Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Stem Cell Index is passively managed to track the performance of regenerative medicine companies (with stock prices of at least 15 cents at the time of inclusion) which derive over 50% of revenue or have compound(s) in active pre-clinical or clinical development which are designed to restore, replace, repair, or enhance the functionality or appearance of tissue and organ systems, including all types of embryonic and adult stem cell therapeutics. In addition, all types of products and services for stem cell banking are included in this index. The index will only be updated to remove components which are no longer trading due to mergers, bankruptcies, or other corporate events that result in de-listing of the Company’s stock.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Telecom Services Dividend Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Telecom Services Dividend Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps over $1 billion at the time of inclusion that meet the following requirements: (1) All such companies must derive at least 50% of their trailing 12-month revenue from any types of voice and data telecom services such as fixed line communications, wireless communications, and internet access provider services and (2) All such companies must have a trailing 12-month dividend yield of at least 1.5%. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Tobacco Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Tobacco Index tracks the performance of companies which derive over 50% of their revenue from the distribution or manufacturing of any type of tobacco product (e.g. cigarettes, cigars, chewing tobacco) or any related tobacco supplies (e.g. wrapping papers, tobacco leafs, filters). The index is passively managed with updates only as needed to reflect mergers, bankruptcies, and other corporate events which affect the component stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Global Trucking & Logistics Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Global Trucking & Logistics Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps over $100 million at the time of inclusion that derive at least 50% of trailing 12-month revenue from any of the following activities: logistics and management support services for all types of transportation companies; all types of land-based, roadway freight forwarding freight transportation services; mail package delivery, transportation, and logistics services; and logistics management support services for roadway transportation companies. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Health Benefit Providers Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Health Benefit Providers Index is passively managed to track the performance of retail pharmacies, pharmacy benefit managers, managed care companies, health insurers, hospital pharmacy operators, workers compensation insurers, and specialty health benefit providers. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in the de-listing of the Company`s stock.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Highly Defensive Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Highly Defensive Index passively tracks the performance of 35 companies based in the Americas, Canada, and Europe with the largest market caps from the following industry groups: (A) Mass Merchant Discount Retailer (1); (B) Consumer Staples (11); (C) Telecom Services (3); (D) At-Home Services (2): Cable TV/Internet Provider (1), Internet Portal/Search Provider (1); (E) Electric Utilities – Domestic (U.S. based) (2); (F) Fast Food Restaurants (1); (G) Commodities (2): Gold Mining (1) Agri-Biotech (Seeds & Fertilizers) (1); (H) Healthcare (11); (I) Aerospace (Non-Commercial) & Defense (1); (J) Energy (1). Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Nation Cap Leaders Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Nation Cap Leaders Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps over $5 billion at the inception date of 8/11/08 which represent the market cap leaders from each nation, spanning developed, emerging, and frontier markets. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

NordiCaps Region Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The NordiCaps Region Index passively tracks the top-rated companies with market caps over $1 billion at the inception date of 7/21/08 that are based in the Nordic Region countries of Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, and Norway. The top rated companies are chosen based on their trailing 12-month stock price performance, market cap weighting, and revenue weighting. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Preventive Medicine Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Preventive Medicine Index passively tracks the performance of companies with market caps over $100 million at the time of inclusion that derive over either 50% or $100 million in trailing 12-month revenue from any of the following activities: (1) human vaccines which are already on the market or in active clinical development; (2) diagnostics and lab services; (3) diabetes care; and (4) vitamins, health supplements, functional foods, and weight loss products or services. Index components will be removed to reflect corporate events such as mergers and bankruptcies which result in de-listing of the underlying stocks.

<o:p>   </o:p>

Regulatory Catalyst Index:

http://www.investinwhoyouare.com/iip_you_profiles.aspx?Portfo...

<o:p>   </o:p>

The Regulatory Catalyst Index tracks the performance of healthcare companies with pending new drug, biological agent, or medical device product decisions at the FDA. The index is actively managed and derived from the BioMedReports.com FDA Calendar database.



March 19

HavRx Regulatory Catalyst Index up 80% since June 2009
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   03/19/10  

This pick is about: iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology Index Fund (IBB)
Rating:   Positive   $91.48 (03/19/10)
Closed:   04/09/2010 @ $91.9 (+0.46% in 21 days)
9 pts


The actively managed <font> HavRx Regulatory Catalyst Index </font> <font> tracks the performance of select companies which meet any of the following requirements: (1) pending new drug, biological agent, medical device, or diagnostic product applications at the FDA; (2) pending pivotal clinical trial results that are designed to support a new filing or resubmission for FDA marketing clearance; and (3) pending early stage clinical study results. Categories (1) and (2) will comprise two-third (67%) or greater of all index components while companies with pending early stage clinical trial results will comprise one-third (33%) or less of all index components. </font>

<font> </font>

<font> </font>

<font> <font> mikehavRx.com Index Updates </font> <font> is a premium service that provides investors with time-saving information and updates on unique global baskets of stocks that are organized and managed within the 18 HavRx Stock Indexes outlined below <font>  that are being tracked at the Investars YOU website since June 2009. <font> Regulatory Catalyst Index Updates include daily updates on regular market trading days for active index components, watch list stocks, and binary event (FDA, clinical trials) summary information. </font> </font> </font> </font>

<font> </font>

<font> Regulatory Catalyst Index Update Statistics (as of 3/19/10 market close) </font>

  • <font> 284 total entries to track select pending binary event data (FDA decisions, clinical trials) </font>
  • <font> 186 companies tracked, including 95 active index components </font>
  • <font> 143 companies under $10 per share, 107 companies under $5 per share </font>

<font> </font>

<font> mikehavRx.com is your prescription for stock index investing updates focused on the healthcare sector, medical innovation, and pending binary events such as FDA decisions and clinical trials, which are tracked in the actively managed Regulatory Catalyst Index. Please visit </font> <font> www.mikehavRx.com </font> <font> for more details on my new publishing company, website, and premium service. </font>



April 06

FDA, Clinical Trial News: $FRX $IMGG $RPRX
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   04/06/10  

This pick is about: Forest Laboratories Inc (FRX)
Rating:   Positive   $30.96 (04/06/10)
Closed:   04/08/2010 @ $32.46 (+4.84% in 2 days)
9 pts


Forest Labs (NYSE:FRX)
 
Daxas (roflumilast) (a once-daily oral treatment)
 
An FDA Advisory Panel meeting is scheduled for Wednesday and FRX is seeking approval for symptomatic COPD (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) to reduce exacerbations. Briefing documents filed ahead of the advisory panel meeting noted proposed label changes were submitted by FRX in late January (less than two months ahead of panel review) and the incidence of psychiatric side effects.
 
Imaging3 (OTCBB:IMGG)
 
Dominion Volumetric Imaging Scanner (DViS) Technolgy for three-dimensional (3D) medical imaging
 
IMGG announced late on 4/5/10 that it submitted the Company’s latest response to FDA, which was previously described as additional imaging data that was pending review and processing by radiologists in support of its FDA 510(k) submission.
 
Repros Therapeutics (NASDAQ:RPRX)
 
Proellex (telapristone acetate)
 
On 4/5/10, RPRX requested a lift of the full FDA clinical hold (Aug. 2009 due to liver toxicity), for the experimental treatment of uterine fibroids and endometriosis, and the Company proposed a single study to determine the potential for developing a low-dose (12 mg or lower) oral anti-progestin therapy.
 
<font> www.mikehavRx.com </font> is your prescription for stock index investing updates focused on the healthcare sector, medical innovation, and pending binary events such as FDA decisions and clinical trials (currently tracking over 230 companies and 360 entries), which are tracked in the actively managed HavRx Regulatory Catalyst Index.   NEW!  50% discount promo codes are available for college students, investment clubs, and subscribers to my previous FDA Calendar or similar services.
 
Disclosure: No positions


December 09

Trading the Trials: Cytori and Cypress Bio
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   12/09/08  

This pick is about: Forest Laboratories Inc (FRX)
Rating:   Positive   $23.45 (12/09/08)
Closed:   04/06/2010 @ $30.96 (+32.03% in 482 days)
9 pts


Trading the Trials: Cytori and Cypress Bio



Cytori Therapeutics (CYTX) reported preclinical study results in large animals which demonstrated the ability of adipose-derived stem and regenerative cells [ADRCs] to repair and increase the tissue density of damaged spinal discs, which was retained at both six and 12-month follow-up assessments. The study demonstrates the potential for a patient's own ADRCs to heal injured spinal discs in a safe manner (as no inflammation was present within the disc space), with results expected to be reported in full next spring.

Cytori has rebounded nicely since briefly falling below two bucks and traded up today by nearly 13% to $2.90 per share. CYTX is also a component in the ETF Innovators [ETFI] Cosmetic & Reconstructive Medicine Index, which includes other commercial-stage stem cell and regenerative medicine companies such as Osiris Therapeutics (OSIR), RTI Biologics (RTIX), and Integra LifeSciences (IART). Regenerative medicine represents the next frontier for big pharma R&D with companies such as Pfizer (PFE) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) entering the space through partnerships and investments.

Forest Labs (FRX) and Cypress Bioscience (CYPB) announced positive Phase 3 results for milnacipran in the treatment of fibromyalgia, which was statistically significant compared to placebo. More detailed results are expected next year as the data is analyzed is further. Both companies are still awaiting a missed FDA decision deadline from mid-October, with today's data confirming the efficacy of milnacipran with a separate cardiovascular study undertaken to address any possible concerns by the agency with regard to increased blood pressure or heart rate. Despite the good news today, CYPB is still trading below 6 bucks despite having no debt and about 4 bucks per share in cash – making the stock a buy ahead of a likely FDA approval for milnacipran.


April 03

Immune-Based Treatments for Brain Cancer Post Impressive Early-Stage Results
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   04/03/10  

This pick is about: Celldex Therapeutics Inc (CLDX)
Rating:   Positive   $6.17 (04/03/10)
Closed:   04/06/2010 @ $6.03 (-2.27% in 3 days)
9 pts


According to NCI/NIH statistics <font> , approximately 19,000 individuals in the US are diagnosed with primary brain cancers each year (with a similar number estimated to occur in Europe) with Temodar (temozolomide or TMZ) given to nearly every patient with a diagnosis of GBM, which is the most common and aggressive form of primary brain cancer. Newly diagnosed individuals with GBM typically undergo surgery to remove the tumor, followed by radiation (RT) and chemotherapy (TMZ). </font>

<font> In May 2009, Roche (OTC:RHHBY) announced that the FDA granted accelerated approval (based on Phase 2 data, including OS of 9.2 months for recurrent GBM) of Avastin (bevacizumab) for the treatment of patients with GBM that have progressive disease following prior therapy. In March 2010, </font> <font> Health Canada also approved Avastin </font> <font> for use as a single agent for the treatment of patients with GBM after relapse or disease progression following prior therapy. Avastin is not yet approved in Europe for GBM and Roche is currently conducting a Phase 3 AVAGLIO study for this indication. </font>

<font> In addition, Eisai (OTC:ESALY) markets the Gliadel Wafer (polifeprosan 20 with carmustine implant), which is indicated in patients with newly diagnosed high-grade malignant glioma as an adjunct to surgery and radiation as well as in patients with recurrent GBM as an adjunct to surgery. </font>

<font> Below is a summary analysis of published data for the treatment of GBM, with the following abbreviations used throughout: RT=radiation therapy, TMZ=Temodar (chemotherapy), n=number of patients evaluated, PFS=progression free survival (listed in months), OS=overall survival (listed in months), 1Y=one-year, 2Y=two-year. </font>

<font> 1.) </font> <font> Stupp et al. New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM), March 2005 </font> <font> (historical control) </font>

<font>      a.) RT+TMZ </font>

<font>           n=287     PFS=6.9     OS=14.6     1Y-OS=61.1%   2Y-OS=26.5% </font>

<font> 2.) </font> <font> Grossman et al. ASCO 2009 </font> <font> . Summary data presented below for three novel agents + RT + TMZ evaluated in single-arm Phase 2 studies with the same eligibility criteria. </font>

<font>      a.) Talampanel (no PFS data) </font>

<font>           n=60                        OS=20.3     1Y-OS=78%      2Y-OS=42% </font>

<font>      b.) Poly ICLC (no PFS data) </font>

<font>           n=85                        OS=18.3     1Y-OS=79% </font>

<font>      c.) Celingitide (no PFS data) (Merck KGaA, OTC:MKGAY) </font>

<font>           n-102                      OS=21.9     1Y-OS=82% </font>

<font> 3.) </font> <font> Sampson et al. ASCO 2009 Poster Presentation </font> <font> (CDX-110, Celldex/Pfizer) </font>

<font>      a.) ACTIVATE study: RT+TMZ+CDX-110 </font>

<font>           n=18     PFS=14.2     OS=26         1Y-OS=94%      2Y-OS=53% </font>

<font>      b.) ACT II study: RT+TMZ+CDX-110 </font>

<font>           n=22     PFS=15.2     OS=23.6     1Y-OS=100%    2Y-OS=50% </font>

<font>      c.) Matched historical control: RT+TMZ </font>

<font>           n=17     PFS=6.3       OS=15        1Y-OS=70%       2Y-OS=6% </font>

<font> 4.) </font> <font> Yu et al. 2009 </font> <font> . A phase I trial of tumor associated antigen-pulsed dendritic cell immunotherapy for patients with glioblastoma. </font>

<font> Presented at the Congress of Neurological Surgeons Annual Meeting on October 26, 2009. (ICT-107, IMUC) </font>

<font>      a.) RT+TMZ+ICT-107 (median OS data not yet reached, estimated at 36 months) </font>

<font>           n=16     PFS=17.7                        1Y-OS=100%     2Y-OS=75% </font>

<font> ImmunoCellular Therapeutics (OTCBB:IMUC) - $1.10, market cap = $18 million </font>

<font> ICT?107 autologous (patient-derived) dendritic cell (DC) therapeutic cancer vaccine candidate </font>

<font> IMUC expects to apply for Orphan Drug status 2Q10 and expects to begin a Phase 2 study during 4Q10. As previously reported, a Phase I study showed median progression-free survival (PFS) of 19 months in GBM patients. ICT-107 targets six cancer-specific peptide antigens (a multi-epitope cancer vaccine targeting the following: HER2, TRP-2, gp100, MAGE-1, IL13R alpha, and AIM-3), including targets that are highly expressed on cancer stem cells. </font>

<font> ICT-121 (off-the-shelf + adjuvant therapeutic cancer stem cell or CSC vaccine candidate) </font>

<font> IMUC has identified novel peptides to broaden the potential use and has filed for a provisional US patent. IMUC expects an IND filing for GBM during 2H10 and may begin a Phase I study for this indication by year-end 2010 while also exploring the possibility of a licensing / development agreement as it focuses its resources on the Phase 2 development of ICT-107 as a priority for in-house development. </font>

<font> Peregrine Pharma (NASDAQ:PPHM) - $3.15, market cap = $162 million </font>

<font> Cotara (a targeted, anti-cancer monoclonal antibody, radio-isotope combo) </font>

<font> PPHM has expanded its Phase 2 brain cancer program into the US and expects to complete patient enrollment in the 40-patient study during 2010. In addition, PPHM previously announced published long-term data from prior studies with 25% (7 of 28) GBM patients surviving over 1 year and 3 of 28 (10.7%) patients surviving after five years of treatment </font>

<font> Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL) - $6.66, market cap = $719 million </font>

<font> XL765 (anti-cancer agent that inhibits PI3K and mTOR or mammalian target of rapamycin) </font>

<font> Phase 1b/2 study with Temodar for GBM </font>

<font> XL184 (anti-cancer agent that inhibits MET, VEGFR2, and RET) </font>

<font> Phase 2 study for GBM </font>

<font> Curis Inc. (NASDAQ:CRIS) - $3.04, market cap = $230 million </font>

<font> GDC-0449 (Hedgehog pathway inhibitor, anti-cancer agent) </font>

<font> The National Cancer Institute (NCI) is currently sponsoring a Phase I study in young patients (age 3-21) with medulloblastoma that is recurrent or did not respond to previous treatment, a Phase 2 study in adult patients with recurrent or refractory medulloblastoma, and a Phase 2 study in patients with recurrent GBM that can be removed by surgery. </font>

<font> Celldex Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CLDX) - $6.17, market cap = $196 million </font>

<font> CDX-110 (EGFRvIII therapeutic cancer vaccine) (variant of epidermal growth factor receptor, EGFR) </font>

<font> Co-developed with Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) with an ongoing Phase 2 study (ACT III) in patients with newly diagnosed GBM (brain cancer) that is fully enrolled (60 patients). </font>

<font> YM BioSciences (AMEX:YMI) - $1.19, market cap = $78 million </font>

<font> Nimotuzumab (nimo) (a humanized epidermal growth factor or EGFR-targeting monoclonal antibody, mAb) </font>

<font> The following are brain cancer related studies for nimo that have expected data in 2010: Phase 3 adult glioma (2Q10), Phase 2 pediatric glioma (3Q10), and Phase 2 brain mets (spread) from lung cancer (4Q10) </font>

<font> In addition, YMI has acquired CYT997 (a small molecule vascular disrupting agent or VDA) with results expected 2Q10 for a Phase I/II study in patients with GBM. </font>

<font> Northwest Biotherapeutics (OTCBB:NWBO) - $0.83, market cap = $48 million </font>

<font> NWBO is developing DCVax-Brain as a personalized, active immunotherapy for brain cancer that utilizes a patient's own dendritic cells loaded with their tumor-associated antigens with the goal of achieving a targeted immune response against the tumor with a low incidence of side effects. Last October, NWBO </font> <font> announced long-term follow-up data </font> <font> for DCVax-Brain from previously conducted studies and NCT00045968 is the ClinicalTrials.gov identifier for a Phase 2 study in patients with GBM that is not yet recruiting patients. </font>

<font> www.mikehavRx.com </font> <font> is your prescription for stock index investing updates focused on the healthcare sector, medical innovation, and pending binary events such as FDA decisions and clinical trials (currently tracking over 225 companies and 350 entries), which are tracked in the actively managed HavRx Regulatory Catalyst Index.   NEW!  50% discount promo codes are available for college students, investment clubs, and subscribers to my previous FDA Calendar or similar services. </font>

<font> Disclosure: Long CLDX, IMUC </font>



November 09

ImmunoCellular (OTC: IMUC.OB): Griffin Maintains Buy Rating with $3.25 Target
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   11/09/09  

This pick is about: ImmunoCellular Therapeutics Ltd. (IMUC)
Rating:   Positive   $0.0 (11/09/09)
Closed:   04/03/2010 @ $0.0 ( n/a) in 145 days)
1 pt


 
Griffin Securities issued an updated research report today on ImmunoCellular Therapeutics (OTC: IMUC.OB), which includes a price objective of $3.25 per share. Below are some highlights from the report, which is available to view or download as a PDF at the <font> BioMedReports.com research downloads </font> section and at the <font> ProActive News Room landing page for IMUC </font> .
 
IMUC is an emerging cancer immunotherapy company that is developing therapeutic and diagnostic product candidates taking aim at the root cause of the disease, cancer stem cells (CSCs), based on two distinct technology platforms - active (cancer vaccines) and passive (monoclonal antibodies or mAbs).
 
1.) The Phase I trial of ICT-107 yields tantalizing efficacy data against glioblastoma and with no safety issues.
 
2.) Roche (OTC: RHHBY.PK) licenses ICT-69 antibody therapy for multiple myeloma and ovarian cancer; more deals in the making.
 
3.) Therapies advance in the R&D pipeline, and the Company is preparing for new clinical trials.
 
4.) We reiterate our BUY recommendation and maintain our target price of $3.25 per share.
 
Early next year (1Q10 which ends 3/31/10), IMUC expects to make an IND filing with the FDA for permission to begin human clinical trials for a Phase 1 study of its off-the-shelf cancer stem cell vaccine candidate (ICT-121). IND Filings for ICT?121 are expected for Brain Tumors in US or Europe during 1Q10 while IND Filings for ICT?121 for Pancreatic Cancer are expected in the US or Europe during 3Q10.
 
The <font> BioMedReports.com FDA Calendar service </font> includes a database with over 400 entries of (1) pending new drug, biological agent, or medical device new product decisions at the FDA (e.g. NDA, BLA, 510k, PMA, sNDA, and sBLA filings); (2) pending new submissions to the FDA; (3) pending complete response letter (CRL) re-submissions to the FDA; and (4) pending clinical trial results.
 
Coming soon is a premium service offered in collaboration with Investars YOU for full access to a global database of over 1,000 stocks which are organized and managed within my <font> 22 ProActive HavRx stock indexes </font> . This service will allow investors to create custom portfolios, personalized exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and generate investment ideas based on their personal preferences, beliefs, and opinions through specialized stock indexes that are organized and targeted toward a wide variety of themes.
 
Disclosure: Long IMUC.OB


December 23

Mentor Capital / QI, Cancer Vaccine Investing Update Report
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   12/23/09  

This pick is about: Celldex Therapeutics Inc (CLDX)
Rating:   Positive   $4.41 (12/23/09)
Closed:   04/03/2010 @ $6.17 (+39.91% in 101 days)
10 pts


The <font> BioMedReports.com stock research download section </font> has been updated today to reflect my new 22-page PDF report and overview of Mentor Capital (OTC: MNTR.PK), Quantum Immunologics (QI) (privately held), and clinical / regulatory updates for several other companies in the cancer vaccine that are outlined below and summarized in the report.
 
Mentor Capital is a public-traded, private equity firm that specializes in acquisitions. The Company provides passive equity funding and liquidity to smaller companies and owners by investing in select shelf IPOs, public, and private companies to provide public market access to owners of small private companies. In early July 2009, as the first of four steps leading to a potential merger and name change, MNTR.PK acquired a 20% ownership stake in the privately-held cancer vaccine company, QI.
 
In mid-December, Mentor Capital announced plans to launch an actively managed <font> Cancer Immunotherapy (CI) Index </font> fund shortly after New Year's Day that will be based on the underlying Mentor Capital CI Index, which has gained 45% on an equal-weight basis since its inception on 7/10/09. MNTR.PK intends to invest a significant portion of the cash proceeds from the exercise of warrants which are currently outstanding on a stepped-price basis at $1, $3, $5, and $7 per share.
 
The Company also announced that $1.2 million each in initial seed funding for the CI Index will be provided in approximately equal parts by Mentor Capital management, WellCap Partners (fund administrator) , and MNTR.PK Series C (previously at $5) warrant holders. Mentor Capital currently has about 900,000 shares outstanding and the Series C warrants were called last week at $0.65 (for a period of 45 days) to provide approximately one-third of the initial seed funding for the CI Index fund.
 
QI's approach to cancer immunotherapy involves sensitizing the dendritic cells (which present foreign antigens to the immune system) from a patient's blood to educate and direct the immune system to attack malignant tumor cells in a targeted effort to eradicate or stabilize the disease. This integrated approach to the treatment, diagnosis, and monitoring of cancer is being developed to create novel, individualized products and services that offer a high rate of efficacy and minimal side effects by harnessing the innate power of the immune system in a targeted manner against the disease.
 
Ø  QI expects to complete enrollment of all 27 patients in the ongoing Phase I/II trial for metastatic breast cancer by the end of 1Q10, at which time preliminary data is expected from the initial cohort of patients that will be discussed with the FDA to design a pivotal, Phase IIb/III clinical trial that could begin in late 2010.
 
Ø  QI is the exclusive licensee of various patent rights in the U.S., Europe, and other countries for the use of OFA to diagnose, monitor, and treat multiple types of cancer. The OFA-iLRP patents are the by-product of 20 years and $30 million of research primarily funded by the National Institute of Health / National Cancer Institute. In addition, QI has filed two provisional patents related to OFA peptides, further expanding QI’s patent estate.
 
Dendreon (NASDAQ: DNDN) follows a similar approach to QI, except that Dendreon is initially focused on the treatment of prostate cancer as it prepares to become a commercial-stage company with the possible early to mid 2010 launch of Provenge (sipuleucel-T). Provenge is derived from a patient's own immune system (dendritic cells, hence the name Dendreon) and is poised (upon FDA approval) to become the first of a new class of therapeutics called active cellular immunotherapies (ACI) which are also referred to as therapeutic cancer vaccines.  
 
In November 2009, Dendreon announced that it completed the submission of an amended Biologics License Application (BLA) for Provenge, seeking FDA approval for men with metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). The amended BLA includes data from the IMPACT trial, which was conducted under a Special Protocol Assessment (SPA) with the FDA. The IMPACT study met its pre-specified primary endpoint demonstrating a statistically significant improvement in overall survival in men with metastatic CRPC. Provenge is currently available through several ongoing clinical trials, including OpenACT (an open label trial enrolling men with metastatic CRPC), ProACT, and NeoACT.
 
In late April 2009, Dendreon announced that its experimental cancer vaccine Provenge extended the life of patients with advanced prostate cancer by a median of 4.1 months, which is one month longer than the only other treatment option, Taxotere. The Company will have the manufacturing capacity to generate possible sales of $60-125 million during 2H10 until full capacity is achieved in late 2011. On 11/20/09, the FDA accepted Dendreon’s amended BLA as a complete response and set a PDUFA action date of 5/1/10 for an expected FDA decision for Provenge.
 
In mid-November, Oncothyreon (NASDAQ: ONTY) reported its quarterly results and provided a development pipeline update. Stimuvax (BLP25 liposome vaccine, L-BLP25) is an investigational therapeutic cancer vaccine designed to induce an immune response to cancer cells that express MUC1, which is a glycoprotein antigen widely expressed on common cancers, including lung cancer, breast cancer, prostate cancer and colorectal cancer. ONTY’s partner for the development of Stimuvax, Merck KGaA / Serono (OTC: MKGAY.PK), is actively enrolling patients in two global Phase 3 trials.
 
Initiated in February 2007, START is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study in patients with documented unresectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer who have had a response or stable disease after at least two cycles of platinum-based chemo-radiotherapy. NCT00409188 is the ClinicalTrials.gov identifier for this study, which currently has an estimated date of December 2010 for final data collection of the primary outcome measure with an estimated enrollment of 1,322 patients.
 
STRIDE is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study in patients with hormone receptor-positive, locally advanced, recurrent or metastatic breast cancer, initiated in June 2009 with a primary endpoint of progression-free survival (PFS). NCT00925548 is the ClinicalTrials.gov identifier for this study, which currently has an estimated date of September 2012 for final data collection of the primary outcome measure with an estimated enrollment of 909 patients.
 
ONTY is also developing BGLP40 as a completely synthetic MUC1-based liposomal glycolipopeptide cancer vaccine for potential use in several cancer indications. The antigen incorporated in BGLP40 combines carbohydrate and peptide determinates in a multi-epitope vaccine that evokes both cell- and antibody-mediated immune responses against major cancer-associated targets expressed on adenocarcinomas. The vaccine also includes the fully synthetic PET-lipid A adjuvant which is proprietary to ONTY, which currently intends to substantially complete the pre-clinical development of BGLP40 in 2010, with the goal of initiating clinical development in 2011. Merck KGaA / Serono has a right of first negotiation with respect to the development or marketing of BGLP40.
 
Celldex Therapeutics (NASDAQ: CLDX) is developing CDX-110 (PF-04948568) along with Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) as a cancer immunotherapy product candidate targeting the tumor specific molecule called EGFRvIII, which is a functional variant (tumor-specific) of the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), a protein that has been well validated as a target for cancer therapy (i.e. Erbitux). CDX-110 is currently being evaluated in a Phase 2 study (ACT III) of CDX-110 in patients with newly diagnosed GBM. NCT00458601 is the ClinicalTrials.gov entry for this study (last updated on 11/20/09) and April 2010 is the estimated date for data collection for the primary outcome of progression-free survival status at 5.5 months from the date of first dose. The estimated study completion date is Nov 2010.
 
ImmunoCellular Therapeutics (IMUC.OB) is developing an off-the-shelf (i.e. does not require obtaining cells from the patient as part of the manufacturing process) peptide-based, therapeutic cancer stem cell vaccine (ICT-121) that targets a protein marker called CD133 that is over-expressed on cancer stem cells. The Phase 1 study for ICT-121 will involve 20 patients with glioblastoma (GBM is a deadly type of brain cancer) receiving five treatments each with final data from the trial anticipated after about 18 months (e.g. 3Q11), since the median time to recurrence in GBM patients is only 6.9 months. ICT-121 may also be beneficial to patients with pancreatic, lung, colon, renal, melanoma, and breast cancers. IND Filings for ICT?121 are expected for brain tumors in during 1Q10 while IND Filings for ICT?121 for pancreatic cancer are expected during 3Q10.
 
In late October, IMUC presented new data for its therapeutic cancer vaccine product candidate ICT-107 as an update to preliminary data that was presented at ASCO 2009 in late May and included a median PFS survival time (defined as the time between surgical tumor removal and tumor recurrence) in the 16 newly diagnosed patients enrolled in the trial was 19 months, which is over 12 months longer than the historical PFS of just 6.9 months. In addition, seven of the 16 patients continue to show no signs of tumor recurrence while three of the patients have gone more than two years without disease progression. ICT-107 targets six glioma-specific peptides, including targets that are highly expressed on cancer stem cells and IMUC expects to sign a licensing deal to fund further clinical development of ICT-107 during 2010.
 
In early October, Inovio Biomedical (AMEX: INO) announced interim safety / immunogenicity data from its therapeutic cervical cancer vaccine (VGX-3100) trial. VGX-3100 is a DNA vaccine targeting the E6 and E7 proteins of human papillomavirus (HPV) types 16 and 18 and is delivered via in vivo electroporation. The vaccine was found to be generally safe and well tolerated, and achieved significant cellular and humoral immune responses at the lowest dose administered. The vaccine is delivered using Inovio’s proprietary CELLECTRA intramuscular electroporation delivery device. Inovio expects to report interim data relating to safety and levels of immune responses (immunogenicity) from the second and third dose groups during 1H10 and plans to initiate a Phase 2 trial in late 2010.
 
 
This Phase I clinical trial is designed to test the safety and immunogenicity of VGX-3100 in women with a previous history of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 2/3, a precursor lesion prior to the development of cancer. This dose-escalation study is enrolling patients in three cohorts of six subjects each with DNA vaccine doses at 0.6 mg (0.3 mg each of two DNA plasmids), 2.0 mg, and 6.0 mg. The immunization regimen consists of each subject receiving three immunizations at the indicated dose.
 
Northwest Biotherapeutics (OTC: NWBO.OB ) is developing DCVax-Brain as a personalized therapeutic cancer vaccine designed to stimulate a patient's own immune system to fight cancer. DCVax-Brain is comprised of a patient's own dendritic cells that have been activated to mobilize the whole immune system to recognize and destroy cancer cells bearing the biomarkers of the patient's own tumor. Each patient undergoes surgical removal of their tumor as part of the current standard of care, and also undergoes a blood draw to obtain their immune cells. The biomarkers from the patient's tumor tissue are exposed to the patient's immune cells in order to activate the patient's dendritic cells, which are subsequently injected back into the patient under the skin in the upper arm.
 
The 10-day manufacturing process produces several years of personalized vaccine for a patient, making DCVax-Brain an off-the-shelf product for that patient throughout the treatment period, following the initial collection, preparation, and manufacturing process. NCT00045968 is the ClinicalTrials.gov identifier for a Phase 2 study evaluating DCVax-Brain in GBM patients which currently has an estimated date of December 2011 for final data collection for the primary outcome measure. On 10/21/09, NWBO.OB reported that DCVax-Brain has begun a 240-patient Phase 2 clinical trial with 13 trial sites at medical centers across the U.S. and stated that the trial is not currently enrolling patients, but expects to resume doing so soon.
 
In late October, MannKind Corp. (NASDAQ: MNKD) announced that results of two Phase 1 studies demonstrate that the novel, investigational cancer vaccines MKC1106-MT and MKC1106-PP are well-tolerated and show encouraging immune response rates and objective tumor response in advanced melanoma, prostate cancer and other solid malignancies, setting the stage for Phase 2 studies.
 
MKC1106-MT is an active cancer immunotherapy product candidate consisting of three components, a DNA plasmid and two synthetic peptides, each of which is administered separately by the unique route of intranodal injection and together are designed to target two tumor-specific antigens that are commonly expressed by melanoma tumor cells. Findings reveal an immune response rate of greater than 40%, defined as the percentage of patients who showed elevated numbers of antigen specific T cells in the blood upon immunization, and preliminary evidence of clinical benefit. Of the 18 patients treated, 14 had visceral metastases and the remaining four had metastases confined to the lymphatic system.
 
MKC1106-PP is a similar agent being developed by MNKD that is designed to target two specific tumor antigens commonly expressed by various solid tumor cells. An immune response rate of 60% was observed and, of the 26 patients treated, seven patients achieved clinical responses defined as partial response (RECIST), change in PSA doubling time or stable disease for at least six months.
 
In late October, Antigenics (NASDAQ: AGEN) announced updated Phase 2 data for Oncophage (vitespen) for recurrent high grade glioma (brain cancer) for the first 20 patients treated, demonstrating a median survival of 10.1 months. Survival data continues to accrue on all patients in the study and thus far, six patients (30%) have survived at or beyond 12 months. The Phase 2 single-arm trial is designed to enroll about 50 patients with recurrent high-grade glioma.
 
Patients undergo surgery to remove their tumors, which are then used to manufacture their patient-specific vaccines and then receive four weekly doses of Oncophage and then bi-weekly doses thereafter in the absence of disease progression, unacceptable toxicity, or vaccine depletion. The Brain Tumor Research Center at the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF), has initiated an additional Phase 2 clinical trial of Oncophage in combination with the standard of care (radiation + Temodar) for newly diagnosed glioma patients to evaluate median overall survival, progression-free survival and immune response.
 
CEL-SCI Corp. (AMEX: CVM) is awaiting validation of its cold fill contract manufacturing facility (which will also manufacture Multikine) before initiating a pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial of Multikine. The pivotal Phase 3 study is designed as an open-label, randomized, global multi-center trial to evaluate the effects of Multikine plus standard of care (SOC) therapy (surgery + radiation or surgery + concurrent chemo / radiation) in subjects with advanced primary squamous cell carcinoma of the oral cavity versus the SOC therapy only.
 
The primary objective is to determine the efficacy of peri-tumoral and peri-lymphatic injection of Multikine given prior to SOC as measured by overall survival with secondary objectives that include evaluating the effects of Multikine on the cumulative incidence of local / regional control, progression-free survival, tumor response, tumor histopathology, and quality of life, and confirming safety of the treatment. About 800 patients are expected to be enrolled in the study on a global basis that includes North / South America, Europe, and Asia.
 
In late May, Biovest (OTC: BVTI.PK) announced that an eight year pivotal, randomized, multi-center, double-blind, controlled Phase 3 clinical study has shown that BiovaxID (personalized therapeutic anti-cancer vaccine) significantly prolonged disease-free survival in follicular non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma. The study found that patients who received BiovaxID experienced a median disease-free survival of 44.2 months compared to 30.6 months for those who received a control vaccine – an increase of 47%.
 
In the study, with a median follow-up of 4.7 years, patients receiving BiovaxID experienced a 38% lower risk of disease recurrence compared to patients receiving the control vaccine. In late June, Biovest announced that BiovaxID is available on a named-patient (compassionate-use) basis in Europe and will be supplied by Idis Limited to European healthcare professionals for the treatment of follicular non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma and potentially for other B-cell blood cancers such as chronic lymphocytic leukemia, mantle cell lymphoma and multiple myeloma.
 
Omnimmune (OTC: OMMH.OB) has licensed rights to platform monoclonal antibody (MAb) technologies and a multivalent cancer vaccine targeting two epitopes of HER-2 (Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-2) (HER-2 is found in about 15-20% of breast cancers and is associated with increased disease recurrence and a worse prognosis). The cancer vaccine has completed a Phase 1 NCI-sponsored clinical trial. Omnimmune plans to sponsor Phase 2 and 3 trials and market the vaccine in collaboration with others. Omnimmune plans to develop prophylactic and therapeutic vaccines, monoclonal antibodies, and gene-based products, which target a hormone called human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG).
 
On 12/9/09, Immunovaccine (TVE: IMV.V) announced FDA clearance for its Investigational New Drug (IND) application to begin human studies of its therapeutic cancer vaccine (DPX-0907). DPX-0907 is the Company’s lead therapeutic cancer vaccine candidate which uses the DepoVax platform to deliver tumor specific antigens. DPX-0907 is designed to cause a depot effect that has the potential to stimulate the immune system to seek out and destroy cancer cells in patients with breast, ovarian and prostate cancer.
 
The Phase 1 clinical trial for DPX-0907 will be conducted at five sites in the US and is on track to begin enrolling patients with breast, ovarian, and prostate cancers by the end of 1Q10. The Phase 1 clinical trial will evaluate the safety and tolerability of the DepoVax delivery system and seven tumor-associated antigens. The activity of DPX-0907 has been demonstrated in preclinical models whereby the vaccine produced a specific cellular immune response that was superior to immune responses achieved with other oil depot vaccines. Preclinical research also reveals DPX-0907 does not induce regulatory T-cell immune suppression, therefore enabling a longer lasting anti-tumor immune response.
 
Disclosure: Long CLDX, IMUC.OB, MNTR.PK, QI


October 28

YM BioSciences (AMEX: YMI): Griffin Reiterates Buy Rating, Ups Price Target to $5.50
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   10/28/09  

This pick is about: YM BioSciences Inc (YMI)
Rating:   Positive   $1.07 (10/28/09)
Closed:   04/02/2010 @ $1.19 (+11.21% in 156 days)
9 pts


On 10/28/09, Griffin Securities issued a research report, reiterating its buy rating on YM BioSciences (AMEX: YMI) (TSX: YM.TO) and increasing the 12-month price target to $5.50 per share. Below is a summary of the rationale behind the updated buy rating and new price target.
 
1.) YMI has 11 global Phase II / III trials ongoing for nimotuzumab (nimo), which is an EGFR-targeting monoclonal antibody with best-in-class potential in an established class of billion dollar drugs with only two other antibodies available that target EGFR, including Erbitux and Vectibix
 
2.) YMI has a strong development partner in Japan, Daiichi Sankyo (OTC: DSKYY.PK), that provides both validation for nimo’s commercial potential and funding for clinical trials in Japan with YMI receiving a royalty on sales, milestone payments and the use of clinical data that is generated. Data is expected from Daiichi’s Phase II trial of nimo with chemo / radiation as a first-line treatment for non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and data from Daiichi’s Phase II trial of nimo in recurrent gastric cancer during 1H10.
 
3.) Data from a Phase II randomized trial in head and neck cancer for nimo demonstrates comparable efficacy to Erbitux in high-EGFR expressing cells without the numerous severe toxicities of Erbitux, such as severe rash.
 
4.) The Company’s proposed all-stock acquisition of Cytopia Ltd. (ASX: CYT.AX) includes a promising clinical stage portfolio to YMI at a favorable valuation (would involve the issuance of approximately 7.2 million new shares of YMI stock). CYT997 is currently in a Phase II trial in glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) and a Phase II trial in multiple myeloma. Results are expected from the GBM Phase II study in mid-2010. In addition, the estimated impact on YMI’s cash burn rate from this acquisition is minimal at $1 million in 2010 and $3 million in 2011 for the additional upside potential and pipeline expansion that is provided.
 
5.) YMI enjoys a solid balance sheet with approximately US$36 million in cash / equivalents as of mid-year, which provides ample resources to support further clinical development of the Company’s key programs.
 
 
 
The full research report is available to view or download in PDF format from both <font> BioMedReports.com </font> and the <font> ProActive News Room websites </font> .
 
Disclosure: No positions


November 22

Navigating the Minefield of Micro-Cap Biotechs
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   11/22/08  

This pick is about: ArQule Inc. (ARQL)
Rating:   Positive   $2.85 (11/22/08)
Closed:   03/31/2010 @ $7.11 (+149.47% in 493 days)
9 pts


Navigating the Minefield of Micro-Cap Biotechs

The accompanying table includes 52 companies with market caps below the $150M minimum for inclusion in the ETF Innovators [ETFI] Emerging Bio-Pharma Index . While the performance is terrible with an average loss of nearly 50%, keep in mind that several buyouts in the out-of-favor micro-cap biotech space have been announced over the past year with 100%-plus takeover premiums, including under-the-radar names such as:

1.) SGX Pharma (SGXP) was acquired for $64M cash by Eli Lilly (LLY) for its cancer drug discovery platform

2.) Kosan Biosciences (KOSN) was acquired by Bristol-Myers (BMY) for its cancer drug pipeline

3.) Barrier Therapeutics (BTRX) was acquired by privately-held Stiefel Labs

4.) Pfizer's (PFE) $164M cash buyout of cancer drug developer Coley Pharma (COLY)

5.) The most recent and extreme example includes GlaxoSmithKline's (GSK) $57M buyout of Genelabs (GNLB) for an astounding premium of over 400% for the latter's hepatitis C clinical development assets

The common theme for these buyouts includes spending a very small amount of money relative to the huge size of the acquiring big pharma companies to acquire assets and expertise for early stage drug discovery and development – with three of the five aforementioned deals focused on cancer drug development. As a starting point for further investment research, companies on the list of 52 with market caps below $150M which have cancer drug candidates and/or discovery platforms include Cytokinetics (CYTK), ArQule (ARQL), Immunomedics (IMMU), Infinity Pharma (INFI), Ardea Biosciences (RDEA), Xoma Ltd. (XOMA), SuperGen (SUPG), Ariad Pharma (ARIA), Celldex Therapeutics (CLDX), and Vical (VICL).


February 26

Big Pharma Goes Generic
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   02/26/09  

This pick is about: Lannett Company Inc (LCI)
Rating:   Positive   $5.2 (02/26/09)
Closed:   03/30/2010 @ $4.42 (-15.00% in 397 days)
9 pts


Big Pharma Goes Generic edit
Sanofi-Aventis (SNY) is now the 11 th largest generic drug maker in the world following its successful acquisition of Czech generic drug company Zentiva. As $70B in brand drug patents are set to expire through 2012, big pharma companies are hedging their bets through generic drug divisions, including Pfizer (PFE) - Greenstone, Novartis (NVS) - Sandoz, and the recently announced Merck (MRK) BioVentures which will specialize in bio-generics.

Elsewhere in the industry, India-based Ranbaxy (RANBAXY.NS) lost about 20% of its market value today on word the FDA would not review new generic drug product applications from one of the Company's facilities amid charges of fraud that involved falsifying shelf life data.

The 12 U.S. listed generic drug makers included in the ETF Innovators Global Generic Drug Index include Mylan Labs (MYL), Caraco Pharma (CPD), Lannett (LCI), Hi-Tech Pharmacal (HITK), Teva Pharma (TEVA), Taro Pharma (TAROF.PK), Impax Labs (IPXL.OB), Dr. Reddy's Lab (RDY), Par Pharma (PRX), Perrigo (PRGO), Momenta Pharma (MNTA), and Watson Pharma (WPI).

Two major privately held generic drug makers are currently on the sell block, including Actavis and Ratiopharm, while Taro is involved in a hostile tender offer by India's Sun Pharma (SUNPHARMA.NS) - which already owns a majority stake (76%) in Caraco. In addition, seven of the 12 U.S. listed generic drug makers have market caps less than $500M, making them takeover targets for the larger players in the industry such as TEVA and MYL or big pharma companies interested in entering the space.

Favorable growth trends for the generic drug industry include nearly $70B in brand name drug sales with patent expirations through 2012, a push to increase generic substitution rates from 65% of all prescriptions dispensed to over 70%, continued industry consolidation of small and mid-cap companies. Also, three generic drug firms (TEVA, MYL, and WPI) have recently posted strong operating results and the basket of a dozen U.S. listed generic drug stocks lost about 10% on an equal-weight basis in the past year.

This performance compares favorably to the big pharma dominated Pharmaceutical HOLDRs (PPH) and the Healthcare Sector SPDR (XLV) - with each of these funds down about 24% in the past year. The global generic drug industry is an excellent candidate for a new ETF idea as the industry fundamentals and consolidation make for a compelling investment theme.

 



November 19

Epinex Diagnostics: A New Paradigm for Diabetic Testing
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   11/19/09  

This pick is about: Abbott Laboratories (ABT)
Rating:   Positive   $53.18 (11/19/09)
Closed:   03/30/2010 @ $52.51 (-1.26% in 131 days)
9 pts


Epinex Diagnostics Inc. (click on preceding link for the Company's News Room page) is a private company that is dedicated to the development of innovative point-of-care technologies using rapid diagnostic tests. Epinex has developed a proprietary platform for rapid tests that apply existing immunoassay strips and biosensors to create unique quantitative diagnostic tests.

  

 

 

Advantages of the Epinex Quantitative Immunoassay System for Point-of-Care Testing include the following:

1.) Rapid:  Results within minutes.

2.) Quantitative:  Yields a precise value, not just "yes" or "no".

3.) Easy to use:  No training required.

4.) Cost effective:  Point-of-care testing reduces overall cost to the healthcare system.

5.) High Sensitivity:  Results comparable to the "gold standard" ELISA test.

The Epinex G1A TM (glycated albumin, which is a measure of average blood sugar control over the previous month) Test is the first of a series of diagnostic monitoring tests based on the Company's proprietary detection platform technology and dual-mode test reader. Future rapid tests under development by Epinex include infectious diseases, other metabolic disorders, coronary artery disease, rheumatoid arthritis, Down Syndrome, and neonatal HIV.

 

 

 

Albumin is a protein found in the blood that can be measured with precision and has a turnover or replacement time of 2-3 weeks. Like many proteins in the body, albumin can become altered or glycated. High levels of glycated albumin have been directly linked to major complications of diabetes such as retinopathy (blindness) and nephropathy (kidney failure) through the damage caused to small blood vessels by the altered protein. It is also a marker for other types of diabetes complications. More than 25 years of clinical research has proven that monthly measurement of glycated albumin is a superior technology to monitor and control glycation.

The Epinex G1A TM Rapid Diabetes Monitoring Index Test is a monthly test for the control of glycation. The test is composed of the G1A TM reader and a proprietary dual-channel test cassette, which is able to simultaneously test for glycated albumin and total albumin. A drop of whole blood is placed on the sample well of the cassette and the cassette is inserted into the reader device. Based on the Company's platform technology, the G1A TM reader automatically quantifies the analyte concentrations on the cassette and gives the G1A TM Index, the ratio of glycated albumin to total albumin in serum.

 

The G1A TM Index shows how well the patients have controlled their level of glycation over the previous month. Simple to operate, the G1A TM test system can be performed at the point of care without the need for highly trained laboratory technicians. It allows for immediate feedback between healthcare provider and patients, thus facilitating timely therapeutic interventions. The results are stored on the device, providing trend analysis as well as displaying immediate results. The results can be transmitted by means of a computer or wireless connection to a doctor's office or other central data location.

The global diabetes epidemic affects an estimated 300 million people worldwide and this number is expected to double by 2030 with an estimated cost of $232 billion. Diabetes is the fifth leading cause of death in the U.S. and fourth leading cause of death on a global basis. Complications of diabetes may include heart disease, blindness, kidney failure, extremity amputations / circulation problems, and neuropathies.

The market for all diabetes monitoring products is the largest medical diagnostics market in the world at $12.4 billion in 2000 and estimated to grow to a level of $27 billion by 2010, representing a 12% CAGR (compound annual growth rate). The diabetes testing market is dominated by global, diversified healthcare giants such as Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) (LifeScan - One Touch), Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT) (FreeStyle), Roche (OTC: RHHBY.PK) (Accu-Chek), and Bayer (OTC: BAYRY.PK) (Ascenscia).

Glycation (binding of excess sugar to proteins such as albumin and hemoglobin) is a major cause of the long-term complications of diabetes and an indicator of the risk of developing those complications. The goal of diabetes monitoring is to control glycation and to avoid the complications of diabetes. This allows diabetics and their health care providers to determine a treatment regimen, to monitor its effectiveness, and to alter it as needed for better overall glucose control. Current diabetes monitoring methods may include periodic doctor visits (e.g. every six months) in addition to multiple tests for monitoring blood sugar levels.

Blood glucose monitoring is the most common and frequent means of measuring blood sugar levels on a real-time basis and may be conducted up to four times daily or more via finger prick or alternate site (e.g. forearm) testing by patients. While blood glucose machines are often subsidized or given away free, the test strips are expensive and represent an ongoing cost along with poor patient compliance due to the high frequency of testing and finger pricks that are involved with this method. Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is typically conducted 2-3 times per year and provides a measure of average blood sugar control over the previous 90 days.

Disclosure: No positions 



February 26

Expert Panel Recommends FDA Regulation of Tobacco
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   02/26/09  

This pick is about: Lorillard Inc. (LO)
Rating:   Positive   $60.13 (02/26/09)
Closed:   03/30/2010 @ $74.745 (+24.31% in 397 days)
9 pts


By Mike Havrilla on 2/25/09
 
The ETF Innovators Global Tobacco Index tracks the performance of the 24 companies listed below which derive the majority of their revenue from the distribution or manufacturing of any type of tobacco product (e.g. cigarettes, cigars, chewing tobacco) or any related supplies (e.g. wrapping papers, tobacco leafs, filters) used directly in the manufacture of tobacco products.
 
The Global Tobacco Index is down by 9.3% to a value of 258,320 and average dividend yield of 4.4% from its starting value of 284,864 on 12/21/08, as compared to losses of 10.3% for the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) and 10.5% for the Consumer Staples Sector SPDR (XLP).
 
Today, a panel of 26 leading tobacco control researchers and policy experts issued a statement that included a recommendation for FDA regulation of all tobacco products. Other recommendations included regulation of marketing, public education initiatives on the relative risks of products containing nicotine, higher cigarette taxes, increased efforts for programs to help people stop using tobacco products, and stricter regulations of tobacco advertising.
 
The following companies are standouts from the index based on their current valuation and other financial parameters:
 
1.) highest dividend yields: Vector Group (VGR) = 12.3%, Reynolds American (RAI) = 10%, Altria (MO) = 8.5%
2.) largest market caps: Philip Morris International (PM) = $70B, British American Tobacco (BTI) = $49B, Altria = $32B
3.) biggest stock price increase in the past year: Star Scientific (STSI) = +52%
 
The remaining companies in the Global Tobacco Index include:
 
1.) Alliance One (AOI)
2.) Bentoel International (Indonesia: RMBA.JK)
3.) Godfrey Phillips (India: GODFRYPHL.NS)
4.) Golden Tobacco (India: GOLDENTOB.BO)
5.) Gudang Garam (Indonesia: GGRM.JK)
6.) Hanjaya Mandala (Indonesia: HMSP.JK)
7.) Imperial Tobacco (UK: IMT.L)
8.) ITC Ltd. (India: ITC.NS)
9.) Japan Tobacco (JAPAF.PK)
10.) JT International (Malaysia: 2615.KL)
11.) Korea Tobacco & Ginseng (KT&G) (033780.KS)
12.) Kothari Products (India: KOTHARIPR.NS)
13.) Lorillard (LO)
14.) RDB Industries (India: RDBIND.BO)
15.) Schweitzer-Mauduit (SWM)
16.) Swedish Match (SWMA.ST)
17.) Universal Corp. (UVV)
18.) Woori Tobacco Sales (Korea: 016670.KQ


June 30

FDA Calendar Updates: POZN, AZN, SNY, CEPH, APPY, CYTR
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   06/30/09  

This pick is about: Cephalon Inc (CEPH)
Rating:   Positive   $56.57 (06/30/09)
Closed:   03/29/2010 @ $72.62 (+28.37% in 272 days)
9 pts


Below is a summary of updates to the <font> BioMedReports.com FDA Calendar </font> , which includes a database of over 200 entries. The calendar was originally created by Mike Havrilla to track companies with pending new drug, biological agent, or medical device new product decisions at the FDA. With the launch of <font> BioMedReports.com </font> , the FDA Calendar has expanded to include the following categories: pending new submissions to the FDA (e.g. NDA, BLA, 510k, PMA, sNDA, sBLA filings), pending complete response letter (CRL) re-submissions to the FDA, and pending late-stage pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial results which are designed to support a filing for FDA approval.
 
 
On 6/30/09, AspenBio Pharma (NASDAQ:APPY) announced a 510(k) submission to the FDA for its AppyScore Test, which represents the first blood-based test designed as an aid in the diagnosis of human appendicitis with the proposed indication of use: AppyScore is an ELISA test system that is used to quantitatively measure S100A8/A9 heterodimer complex in blood. It is an in vitro diagnostic device that is intended to be used as an adjunctive tool for the diagnosis of acute appendicitis in conjunction with additional diagnostic modalities (such as clinical exam, basic lab testing, imaging) in patients with abdominal pain that is suspicious for acute appendicitis.
 
This filing advances the Company's commercialization plan for AppyScore, which involves initially filing the 510(k) based on the ELISA test format. Upon receiving market clearance for this device, the company plans to use the ELISA device as a predicate for a rapid assay device that includes a reader instrument. AspenBio plans to begin initial hospital testing of the rapid assay device in late 2009. Assuming the company receives FDA clearance of the AppyScore ELISA test and development work is completed, clinical trials of the rapid assay are planned to begin in early 2010. These follow-on trials will be designed to support a 510(k) submission for this rapid assay platform using the ELISA test as a predicate. The rapid assay system represents the format that APPY plans to ultimately commercialize.
 
On 6/30/09, CytRx Corp. (NASDAQ:CYTR) announced that it filed a report (including results from an animal toxicology study) with the FDA in response to the Agency’s partial clinical hold on the Company’s Phase 2b efficacy clinical trial with its molecular chaperone regulator drug candidate arimoclomol for the treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS or Lou Gehrig’s disease). CYTR expects that the FDA will review the report during 3Q09 and stated that the Agency’s partial clinical hold was unrelated to data generated by human studies and arimoclomol has been studied in seven Phase 1 and two Phase 2 clinical trials without any significant adverse events.
 
On 6/30/09, Cephalon (NASDAQ:CEPH) announced that it has submitted a supplemental New Drug Application (sNDA) to FDA requesting approval of NUVIGIL (armodafinil) Tablets [C-IV] for the indication of improved wakefulness in patients with excessive sleepiness associated with jet lag disorder resulting from eastbound travel. Jet lag disorder is an acute condition that occurs when a person's internal body clock becomes disrupted as a result of rapid travel across several time zones. Based on U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics findings, an estimated 70 million American travelers experience jet lag annually. Currently, there are no FDA-approved medications to improve wakefulness in travelers who experience the excessive sleepiness commonly associated with long flights.
 
On 6/30/09, Pozen (NASDAQ:POZN) announced the submission of a NDA to the FDA for the marketing approval of VIMOVO (PN 400), the combination of enteric-coated naproxen and immediate-release esomeprazole (currently marketed as Nexium). Pozen and AstraZeneca (NYSE:AZN) entered into a global co-development agreement for VIMOVO in August 2006. Pending regulatory approval, the proposed trade name is VIMOVO and the proposed indications are for the signs and symptoms of osteoarthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, and ankylosing spondylitis in patients who are at risk for developing NSAID-associated ulcers. Upon the Agency’s  acceptance for filing of the NDA, a $10 million milestone payment from AZN will be payable to Pozen. The estimated PDUFA action date is 4/30/10 for a standard, 10-month review for a possible FDA decision on this NDA.
 
On 6/30/09, Sanofi-Aventis (NYSE:SNY) provided an update on the Company’s R&D division and stated that it is still awaiting a FDA decision for its pending NDA for heart drug Multaq (dronedarone) in the treatment of atrial fibrillation (a type of irregular heartbeat). In March, a FDA panel of cardiology experts recommended that Multaq should be approved with a 10-3 vote and the original PDUFA action date was 4/30/09. Both the Company and analysts are expected Multaq to post annual peak sales over $1 billion (U.S. Dollar) despite FDA Advisory Panel recommendations that the drug (1) should not be used in patients with advanced cases of heart failure (Class III and IV) and (2) SNY cannot claim the drug lowered the risk of death.
 
Disclosure: No positions.


March 16

Regulatory Catalyst Extreme Trades: $APPA, $APPY $ARIA, $CTIC, $SOMX
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   03/16/10  

This pick is about: Cell Therapeutics Inc (CTIC)
Rating:   Negative   $1.01 (03/16/10)
Closed:   03/28/2010 @ $0.64 (+36.63% in 12 days)
9 pts


The actively managed HavRx Regulatory Catalyst Index tracks the performance of select companies which meet any of the following requirements: (1) pending new drug, biological agent, medical device, or diagnostic product applications at the FDA; (2) pending pivotal clinical trial results that are designed to support a new filing or resubmission for FDA marketing clearance; and (3) pending early stage clinical study results. Categories (1) and (2) will comprise two-third (67%) or greater of all index components while companies with pending early stage clinical trial results will comprise one-third (33%) or less of all index components.
 
As of 3/15/10, statistics for the <font> Regulatory Catalyst Index </font> are outlined below and includes daily updates in the evening (between 6-8pm ET) on regular market days which are available to view, download, and print at the subscriber home page. The daily Regulatory Catalyst Index Updates are available in four versions, sorted by company name (A-Z), stock price (low-high), expected binary event catalyst date (oldest-newest), and the date each entry was last updated (newest-oldest).
 
(1) 255 total entries to track select pending binary event data (FDA decisions, clinical trials)
 
(2) 170 companies tracked with 92 active index components
 
(3) 130 companies under $10 per share and 95 companies under $5 per share
 
Below is a sample of select Regulatory Catalyst Extreme trades as of 3/15/10 market closing data, which are currently included in the reports available at the <font> subscriber home page for the index updates service </font> .
 
1.) AP Pharma (NASDAQ: APPA) ($1.50, $59 million) has a pending FDA decision for a novel, long-acting formulation of already approved ingredient (granisetron is currently marketed as Kytril), known as APF530 (long-acting granisetron) with a FDA decision expected 3/18/10 for this Section 505(b)(2) NDA
 
2.) Somaxon Pharma (NASDAQ: SOMX) ($4.11, $97 million): Silenor (doxepin) NDA is seeking approval for the treatment of insomnia. FDA has accepted its response as a Class I resubmission (60-day review period) for expected decision by 3/21/10.
 
3.) Cell Therapeutics (NASDAQ: CTIC) ($1.01, $580 million): Pixuvri (pixantrone) Injection has a PDUFA action goal date of 4/23/10 and advisory panel meeting scheduled for 3/22/10. This NDA is seeking approval of pixantrone to treat relapsed or refractory, aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL), expects to file MAA in EU mid-2010, NerPharMa manufctg facility was approved by FDA 3/8/10.
 
4.) Ariad Pharma (NASDAQ: ARIA) ($3.32, $362 million): Pivotal, Phase 3 SUCCEED trial for oral ridaforolimus has an expected interim analysis around the end of 1Q10 with final data analysis expected 2H10 in patients with metastatic soft-tissue and bone sarcomas.
 
5.) AspenBio Pharma (NASDAQ: APPY) ($2.26, $85 million): AppyScore (blood-based diagnostic test appendicitis) clinical trial expected to complete enrollment in March and support a new 510(k) submission that may occur 2H10, contingent upon results in this study.
 
mikehavRx.com Index Updates is a premium service that provides investors with time-saving information and updates on unique global baskets of stocks that are organized and managed within the 18 HavRx Stock Indexes outlined below that are being tracked at the Investars YOU website since June 2009. Please visit <font> www.mikehavRx.com </font> for more details on my new publishing company, website, and premium service.
 
Disclosure: No positions


March 12

mikehavRx.com News Bytes: $DCTH, $TRA, $POT, $SUPG, $ACCP.OB, $AMLN
Mikerun
   Mike Havrilla   03/12/10  

This pick is about: Delcath Systems Inc (DCTH)
Rating:   Positive   $5.87 (03/12/10)
Closed:   03/28/2010 @ $7.26 (+23.68% in 16 days)
9 pts


HavRx Global Crop Science Index: Potash (NYSE: POT) is poised to open trading at new highs after posting strong earnings and upping its guidance. Meanwhile, Yara International (OTC: YARIY.PK) has withdrawn its bid for Terra Industries (NYSE: TRA), which will be acquired by CF Industries (NYSE: CF). In addition, Agrium (NYSE: AGU) has dropped its hostile bid for CF.

<font> Delcath Systems (NASDAQ: DCTH) is an emerging, small-cap medical device innovator that is developing a regional treatment system for cancer in the liver. Delcath's Percutaneous Hepatic Perfusion (PHP) technology allows physicians to deliver significantly higher doses of existing chemotherapy drugs to the liver without exposing each patient's entire body to the anti-cancer drugs, representing an elegant solution that promises to increase the effectiveness of approved anti-cancer drugs while reducing systemic side effects. </font>

<font> DCTH conducted an update conference call today and still expects pivotal study results in April. The pending FDA filing will be based on these results with Fast Track status and rolling submission to expedite the process while a filing for CE Mark (Europe) clearance as a Class III medical device is now expected by year-end. </font>

<font> Amylin Pharma (NASDAQ: AMLN), Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), and Alkermes (NASDAQ: ALKS) have a financial stake in a pending FDA decision that is expected today for a new once-weekly formulation of diabetes drug Byetta (exenatide LAR). </font>

<font> Access Pharma (OTC: ACCP.OB) has developed a nano-polymer drug delivery system for the oral administration of large molecules that are currently administered as injections (e.g. insulin, human growth hormone or hGH, erythropoietin or EPO, fertility drugs, parathyroid hormone/PTH, RNA-based therapeutics (sRNAi), and monoclonal antibodies). On Thursday, Access announced that it received reports from its two bio-pharmaceutical collaborators for oral insulin, which independently confirmed previous results by the Company for oral bio-availability in preclinical animal models of greater than 80% as compared to subcutaneous injections of insulin. </font>

<font> Access reported several ongoing negotiations with additional companies that are interested in its Cobalamin Oral Drug Delivery Technology while simultaneously evaluating options for advancing oral insulin to proof-of-concept studies in humans as soon as possible. Based upon previous guidance, Access may initiate proof-of-concept (Phase 1 equivalent) studies for oral insulin in humans in Eastern Europe or India during 2H10 (with expected duration of 3-5 months and cost of $250-300,000). </font>

<font> Earlier this morning, Eisai Inc. (OTC: ESALY.PK) announced FDA approval for a five-day dosing regimen for anti-cancer drug Dacogen (decitabine) to treat patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). Dacogen was approved by FDA in May 2006 for a three-day regimen and developed by SuperGen (NASDAQ: SUPG) and MGI Pharma (which was since acquired by Eisai). </font>

<font> mikehavRx.com Index Updates is a premium service that provides investors with time-saving information and updates on unique global baskets of stocks that are organized and managed within the 18 HavRx Stock Indexes outlined below that are being tracked at the Investars YOU website since June 2009. Please visit </font> <font> www.mikehavRx.com </font> <font> for more details on my new publishing company, website, and premium service. </font>

<font> Disclosure: Long ACCP.OB, DCTH </font>



 
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More about Mike Havrilla

Investment Style:
Aggressive  [?]

Avg exp holding time:
384.29 days

Age:
30's

Location:
USA


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About Me:
I am a pharmacist, writer, marathon runner, and investor. Check out the Ultimate Guide to Biotech Sto ... more




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