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 Trader Mark     www.fundmymutualfund.com     Graphic_subscribe   

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    Community Rank: Analyst (151 pts)  |  Member since 04/09/2008
Tradermark
Picks Performance:
Outperforms
34%
of community

All-time Return
-7.03%
(in 1 year)
Risk (SD)
Moderate
0.00%
Sharpe Ratio
-22.33
Followers
15
Winning Picks
87 of 238
Total Views
60942


Trader Mark 's Blog Posts
Graphic_arrow1 Visit Blog:   Fund my Mutual Fund


Tim Geithner Under Fire (Videos) 11/19/09   —  Rough day at the office for Tim Geithner 2 very interesting videos - whatever side of the aisle you are on, it sure is interesting to watch.  Please note, I did NOT write these titles for the videos - they are from the youtube user. I have never seen Geithner so agitated... I almost felt sorry for...
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PIMCO's Bill Gross December 2009 Letter : Risk of Bubbles Rises with Low Rates 11/19/09   —  One of the most powerful men in the United States, Bill Gross, has put out his monthly letter and its a doozy. [Feb 21, 2009: Fortune - Is PIMCO's Bill Gross too Powerful?]   Nothing new to FMMF readers, but when the most respected of investment managers start waving the bubble flag, it's less easi...
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EJ   CTRP   Bookkeeping: Beginning Starter Stake in Ctrip.com (CTRP) 11/19/09   —  Aside from E-House Holdings (EJ) which completely fell flat on its face, one of the best earnings reports of the past few weeks was Ctrip.com (CTRP).  Unlike EJ, the stock gapped up after earnings and tacked on a bushel of points.  Today the stock has come back and filled it's "gap" in the $66s, wh...
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More Homes in the US in Delinquency or Foreclosure, than for Sale 11/19/09   —  Despite countless monies spent by government to manipulate the housing market upward, [Mar 5, 2009: WSJ - Mortgage Bailout to Aid 1 in 9 Homeowners]   we have reached a new threshold in our "recovery".... for the first time the number of homes in delinquent status + foreclosures is GREATER than ...
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Bookkeeping: Selling Index Longs as S&P Breaks 1100 11/19/09   —  I am just being mechanical and conservative here and selling out the index longs (TNA & SPY calls) bought Monday on the breakout over S&P 1100 as we fall back below it.  Could be a head fake - we never know until after the fact, but we can always re-enter on a bounce back over S&P 1103-1...
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GDX   KGC   John Paulson Set to Launch Gold (GLD) Hedge Fund 11/19/09   —  I keep looking for something that marks at least an intermediate term top in gold, i.e. a "magazine cover" indicator aka when everyone is on the same side of the trade and even your barber starts talking up gold stocks.   This doesn't mean the thesis is not correct in the long run, but let's keep a...
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Infectious Greed: Detroit v Rest of US in Unemployed Per Job Posting 11/19/09   —  Hat tip to Paul Kedrosky for this eye opening chart.  The source data can be found here but as they say a picture is worth a thousand words; clearly there is a localized depression in the metro Detroit area. [click to enlarge] As you view in shock and awe, I'd also like to point out the city i...
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TOL   Toll Brothers (TOL) CEO: “Yesterday’s subprime is today’s FHA,” 11/18/09   —  *deep sigh* Just another day in Rome... I truly wish those of us who have been warning about this impending mess could get tax exclusions from our wages to be raided for the bailouts that are to come. I do want to make a caveat since I've made the FHA implosion my personal Roubini / Schiff call.  E...
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EJ   Bookkeeping: Stopped Out of E-House Holdings (EJ) ... Again 11/18/09   —  I am having a frustrating time with E-House Holdings (EJ); after we bought back a large exposure yesterday morning following a stellar earnings report; the stock has done nothing but sell off.  I am confused by the reaction but the stock has been weak for much of the past month.  Obviously a big pl...
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S&P 1100 Current Pivot Point 11/18/09   —  All <strike>eyes</strike> microchips seem pointed at S&P 1100.  As we wrote Monday during the morning surge: I hate to use the word "resistance" anymore since all resistance has been futile so maybe we'll use "resting point" from now on.  I'll start looking at the next "resting point" f...
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CHS   HANS   Best Performing Stocks of the Decade: 1900% to 7900% Gains 11/18/09   —  I emailed the the originator of this list, Eddy Elfenbein of Crossing Wall Street, to see what his parameters for "Top Stocks of the Decade" were and there was but one: The universe was any stock traded on a US exchange that had a price of at least 50 cents on 12/31/99.  Despite a lost decade in ...
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CAT   ERTS   Minyanville.: Our Economy is on Steroids 11/18/09   —  Below is a guest post, reprinted with permission of author Vitaliy Katsenelson who writes often at Minyanville.com.   I don't have as much time to read the site as I used to, but he is definitely one of the more thought provoking writers at the site. If you are new to FMMF, I wanted to bring over ...
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PCU   FCX   Freeport McMoran Copper & Gold (FCX) Potential Breakout Candidate; Cleveland Natural Resources (CLF) and Various Coal Plays (MEE, WLT) also Hot 11/18/09   —  I see a lot of extended charts out there as we move into what seems like day 82 of consecutive upside, along with some bond fide breakouts.  While we should only be so lucky to catch another Potash (POT), one chart that caught my eye last night was Freeport McMoran Copper & Gold (FCX). Much like...
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GLD   Marc Faber: As Long as Ben Bernanke is Fed Chief, Gold (GLD) Will Be a Good Investment 11/18/09   —  Much like Hugh Hendry, I can watch to Marc Faber videos all day even if I did not agree with a thing either fellow said.  They just have an entertaining spectacle about them.  Hence we must devote 1 post a month to Mr. Faber.  I am not sure what to make of today's video - the contrarian deep insid...
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Still All Good for the Bulls - Quiet Consolidation 11/17/09   —  Barring a nasty reversal in the last 45 minutes, today is a big win for the bulls.  Support of S&P 1100 has been held; a major move up is being consolidated with almost no pullback at all.  Stocks are simply churning before making the next move (up!) - that's how it appears at this point.  On...
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FSLR   APWR   USA Today: China Pushes Solar, Wind Development 11/17/09   —  Just something to keep your eye on as your politicians promise you that the US will be the world leader in green tech jobs.  In fact they have to layer countless more debt on your children and grandchildren for temporary jobs, to make this dream come true.  Most likely this promise will come next s...
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MOS   POT   Potash (POT) Could be on the Verge of a Breakout 11/17/09   —  Fertilizer stocks were some of our huge scores in 2007 and first half 2008; specifically Mosaic (MOS) but Potash (POT) was another huge winner.  While Mosaic remains comatose, Potash might finally be ready to join the commodities party.  I have been observing a double top area in the $106 range; a ...
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HES   PBR   George Soros Reveals Stake in Ford (F), Adds to Walmart (WMT), Cuts Position in Petrobras (PBR) 11/17/09   —  It's that time of quarter - when the whales of investing have to reveal what they are doing on the long side to the SEC (they can still keep secret their shorts).  There are a lot of websites that will be looking at these disclosures in the next 48 hours so we'll just focus on a few.  When I did so...
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CAT   EJ   Bookkeeping: Rebuilding E-House Holdings (EJ) Position on Earnings Blowout 11/17/09   —  The market often makes little sense to me; if a company like Caterpillar (CAT) reported an earning report like we just saw from E-House Holdings (EJ), CNBC anchors would be in tears of joy and the stock would be up 20%.  Instead EJ is up 2%, despite beating by 15 cents... AND increasing guidance.  ...
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CAT   BAC   Dennis Gartman: Gold (GLD) is in a "Bubble" - Meredith Whitney Just Plain Confused by the Action 11/17/09   —  It is always easy to say after the fact "gosh that was a bubble" or "clearly things were out of control".  Most people will either ignore the warnings, ride the good times and then never adjust when the music stops.  That was myself in 1999 thru 2001.  Other people will sit it all out, vying for s...
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More about Trader Mark

Avg exp holding time:
171.83 days


Website:
www.fundmymutualfund.com

About Me:
I have been in the market in some form since being a teenager, first with mutual funds, than onto to ... more




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